Chargers-Patriots Betting Odds: L.A. the Most Popular Underdog of Divisional Round

Jan 09, 2019 3:45 PM EST
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USA Today Sports. Pictured: Philip Rivers, Tom Brady

Betting Odds: Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots

  • Odds: Patriots -4
  • Over/Under: 47
  • Time: 1:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jan. 13
  • TV: CBS

>> All odds as of Wednesday afternoon. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and track your bets


The New England Patriots have moved to 4-point favorites against the Los Angeles Chargers after opening at -4.5. The Chargers are the trendiest underdogs of the Divisional Round, drawing a majority of spread bets (62%) and money wagered (71%) as of Wednesday (see live data here).

Sunday will be Tom Brady’s 67th consecutive start as a betting favorite (including playoffs). The Patriots entered the playoffs with their patented bye week — their ninth straight.

Action Network Projections: Chargers-Patriots

Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, made the following power ratings for this game in the immediate aftermath of Wild Card Weekend. For the most up-to-date projections, download The Action Network app.

  • Projected Spread: Patriots -5
  • Projected Over/Under: 46.9

Betting Trends to Know

The last time the Patriots didn’t have a bye week, Matt Schaub led the NFL in passing yards. Needless to say, it’s been a good run for New England.

  • For the 35th time since 2003, Brady will start a home game on more than a full week of rest (more than seven full days). The Patriots are 31-3 (91.2%) straight-up and 19-13-2 (59.4%) against the spread in the previous 34 games, covering by 5.2 points per game. The only three quarterbacks to beat Brady in Foxborough in this spot? Russell Wilson, Mark Sanchez and Peyton Manning.
  • Philip Rivers is 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in Foxborough and 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS against the Patriots overall. But he’s 0-4 SU and ATS against Brady over the past decade, making him Rivers’ least profitable opposing quarterback over that span.

How the Chargers Reached the Divisional Round

Rivers and the Chargers held off the Ravens in the AFC Wild Card Game for their first playoff win since January 2014.

Since losing Super Bowl XXIX in 1994, the Chargers have advanced past the Divisional Round only once: In 2007, when they lost to the Patriots as 5-point home favorites.

How the Patriots Reached the Divisional Round

This is the 10th consecutive season that the Patriots have won the AFC East (and made the playoffs), also bringing their streak of seasons with at least 10 wins to 16 straight.

The Patriots struggled on the road, though, finishing the regular season 3-5 ATS — their first season with a road record worse than .500 since 2015.

The Patriots have finished worst than .500 ATS on the road only four times in the Bill Belichick era prior to this season:

  • 2015: Lost in Conference Championship vs. Broncos
  • 2013: Lost in Conference Championship vs. Broncos
  • 2009: Lost in Wild Card round vs. Ravens
  • 2002: Missed playoffs
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