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Bears-Dolphins Betting Preview: Believe in Chicago as Favorite in South Beach?

Oct 14, 2018 10:00 AM EDT

Joe Camporeale, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Mitchell Trubisky

Betting odds: Chicago Bears at Miami Dolphins

  • Spread: Bears -3.5
  • Over/Under: 41.5
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • Channel: FOX

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: As a three-point home dog, the Dolphins received some sharp activity early in the week. Since then, however, it has been on the Bears and the line has moved to 3.5. (See live betting data here). —Mark Gallant

Trends to know: After a 3-0 start, Miami has lost consecutive games and is now listed as a home underdog.

While this might seem like a good contrarian spot to buy low on the Dolphins, history suggests otherwise. Since 2003, home underdogs coming off consecutive losses have gone 78-104-7 (43%) against the spread, according to our Bet Labs data. — John Ewing

Biggest mismatch: Bears run defense vs. Dolphins run offense

Chicago’s defense might not be on the level of the 1985 “Monsters of Midway” — at least not yet — but the Bears may look like they are against a Miami run game that has failed to clear 60 yards in two of its past three games.

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