Bears-49ers Betting Preview: Will San Fran Deliver Again as Home Underdogs?

Dec 23, 2018 12:40 PM EST

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: San Fransisco 49ers tight end George Kittle (89), Chicago Bears quarterback Mitchell Trubisky (10).

Betting odds: Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers

  • Spread: Bears -4
  • Over/Under: 43
  • Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX

>> All odds as of Friday afternoon. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: This game is eerily similar to last week’s Seahawks-Niners game. The 49ers are getting just 23% of the bets despite their upset of Seattle, but have dropped from -5 to -4 since opening.

They did reach -3.5 at one point, but there was a bit of buyback on Chicago. There have been two sharp money indicators on each side, with both of San Fran’s coming in at +4.5 and both of Chicago’s coming in on -3.5. — Mark Gallant

Trends to know: The 49ers enter Week 16 at 4-10 on the season, marking their fourth-consecutive year with double-digit losses. They have only finished with double-digit losses 11 times in franchise history prior to this streak.

San Francisco has won two consecutive games, though, beating both the Seahawks and Broncos at home. The 49ers have won three straight games just once since November of 2014, the end of last season with Jimmy Garoppolo. — Evan Abrams

The Bears are 10-4 straight up and against the spread this season and have been one of the best all-around teams in the league.

Since 2003, teams that have won and covered at least two-thirds of their games in December or later have struggled on the road, going 42-60-3 ATS (41.2%), losing bettors 20 units.

When the road team is favored in this spot, they fall to 23-41-2 ATS (35.9%), according to our Bet Labs data. — Abrams

Playoff picture: The Bears have a slim chance (12.8% odds, per our simulations) to get a first-round bye. So unless the Rams slip up against the Cardinals as 14-point favorites, Chicago is locked into the 3-seed, with a wild-card date against the Seahawks, Vikings or Eagles looming. Scott T. Miller


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