Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes.
- The Chiefs-Rams Week 11 game on Monday Night Football (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN) is scheduled to be played at Azteca Stadium in Mexico City, but poor field conditions may change that.
- According to ESPN's Adam Schefter, the game is at risk of being moved to Los Angeles or postponed.
- Three sportsbooks weighed in on what the new line will be if the game is played in Los Angeles.
It’s tough to argue that Monday night’s Week 11 game between the 9-1 Kansas City Chiefs and 9-1 Los Angeles Rams is not the game of the year.
Well, as irony would have it, field conditions at Azteca Stadium in Mexico City are putting the game in jeopardy.
Looks a little beat up I suppose …
On Tuesday afternoon, ESPN’s Adam Schefter reported that the game may be moved to Los Angeles or postponed due to the shoddy sod in Mexico City.
Say it ain’t so, Adam. Why could this not have been the Giants-49ers game?
With the Rams currently 2.5-point favorites on neutral turf, the game being moved to Los Angeles would result in a big line move.
And for those wondering, this game should technically be a Rams home game as they’ll only have seven this season.
According to Mike Young, Sports Wagering and Integrity Analyst for CG Technology in Las Vegas, the Rams would become 4- to 4.5-point favorites if the game is played in LA.
“We would probably reset it to Rams -4 or -4.5, giving a couple points for home field, but don’t want to continue to inflate the Rams’ lines as they continue to underperform against the spread.”
Hmm, well what do you know …
NFL home-field advantage is generally worth between two to three points, but the Rams haven’t done well ATS. The big thing, of course, is the move through the key number of three.
A further move from -4.5 to -5 would not be as significant.
Odds consultant Scott Cooley said the exact same thing in terms of a potential new spread. A move to LA would result in the line being moved to -4 or -4.5.
He also mentioned that they’d keep the historically high over/under as is. However, he believes that the over would likely receive more action if the game is moved.
We also got in touch with Jeff Sherman of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, who said the Rams would move to -4 and the over/under would remain the same.
Of course, perhaps an even bigger question for some is whether or not bets that have already been placed will be cancelled and refunded.
CG Technology’s policy states, “”All games must be played on the date and location specified; in the event of a location change all wagers on that event will be refunded.”
Cooley and Sherman both confirmed that bets would be refunded, with Sherman adding that games must be played at the listed location for action at Westgate.
Keep posted for more updates on the situation by following @ActionNetworkHQ.