Colts-Chiefs Betting Odds: Indy Drawing Majority Support in Saturday’s AFC Divisional Game

Jan 09, 2019 3:15 PM EST

Betting Odds: Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas City Chiefs

  • Odds: Chiefs -5.5
  • Over/Under: 57
  • Time: 4:35 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jan. 12
  • TV: NBC

>> All odds as of Wednesday afternoon. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and track your bets


The Kansas City Chiefs have moved to 5.5-point favorites against the Indianapolis Colts after opening at -6. Andrew Luck and Co. have drawn the majority of spread bets (57%) and money wagered (68%) as of Wednesday afternoon (see live data here).

Being a favorite in a playoff game has not been a good omen for the Chiefs, who have lost straight-up as favorites in their first game of each of the past two postseasons.

Action Network Projections: Colts-Chiefs

Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, made the following power ratings for this game in the immediate aftermath of Wild Card Weekend. For the most up-to-date projections, download The Action Network app.

  • Projected Spread: Chiefs -5.5
  • Projected Over/Under: 55.5

Betting Trends to Know

The Chiefs have now made the playoffs for a fourth consecutive season under Andy Reid. Only one other coach in Chiefs history has accomplished that feat: Marty Schottenheimer.

  • Since the 1970 merger, the Chiefs are 4-16 straight-up and 3-17 against the spread in the playoffs, including 0-9 ATS at home.
  • The Colts are 4-0 SU and ATS against the Chiefs in the playoffs, with two of Kansas City’s four losses coming at home in Arrowhead Stadium.
  • For the 14th time his career, Luck faces a team on the road that’s on extended rest (eight or more days): Luck is 9-4 (69.2%) ATS, making him the NFL’s most profitable quarterback in this spot since he was drafted No. 1 overall in 2012.

How the Colts Reached the Divisional Round

After defeating the Texans in the AFC Wild Card Game, the Colts are back in the Divisional Round for the first time since 2014, when they lost to the Patriots in the conference championship.

The Colts jumped out to an early 21-0 lead and held Deshaun Watson and the Texans scoreless until the fourth quarter, beating Houston 21-7.

Indianapolis is on a five-game straight-up win streak, also winning 10 of its past 11 games.

How the Chiefs Reached the Divisional Round

The Chiefs reached the Divisional Round by simply selecting Patrick Mahomes with the 10th overall pick in the 2017 draft. Even if that is a bit of a joke, it really isn’t too farfetched.

The Chiefs won 12 or more games for the sixth time in franchise history, and over the past three seasons, only the Patriots and Saints have been more profitable ATS in the regular season.

Entering the playoffs, the Chiefs are averaging 35.3 points per game, the third-most points a team has averaged entering the playoffs since 1990, behind just the 2013 Broncos (37.9 PPG) and the 2007 Patriots (36.8 PPG). Both the Broncos and Patriots ended up making the Super Bowl, but lost to the Seahawks and Giants.

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