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Colts’ Super Bowl Odds Improve Following Andrew Luck’s Preseason Performance

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Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports Pictured: Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck

  • Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck made his return to professional football in Thursday's preseason Week 1 game against the Seattle Seahawks.
  • Luck was impressive, completing 66.7% of his passes for 64 yards.
  • Following Luck's performance, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook adjusted a handful of the Colts' futures and prop bets.

One of the biggest NFL preseason storylines revolves around the return of Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck and whether he’d resemble the player we last saw in 2016. Luck appears to have passed the first test after completing 6 of 9 passes for 64 yards against the Seahawks.

Not only is Luck skyrocketing up fantasy football draft boards, but the NFL betting market is also bullish following Indy’s preseason opener. The Colts’ odds have improved in a handful of key futures and prop bets offered by the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

Indy’s odds to win the Super Bowl, the AFC and the AFC South all improved since the afternoon before its first preseason game. While not a massive adjustment, a healthy Luck will certainly make the Colts more formidable, justifying a move from 60-1 to 40-1 to win Super Bowl 53.

In addition, the team’s chances of making the NFL playoffs also moved from +300 to +240.


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In terms of implied probability, the Colts’ odds of reaching the postseason increased from 23.81% to 29.41%, based on those odds. Even with the improvement, they’re still considered a longshot to make the playoffs by the NFL betting market.

Interestingly, despite the general optimism regarding the 2018 Indianapolis Colts, the vig on their regular-season win total moved from Under 7.5 wins (-120) to Under 7.5 wins (-130). In layman’s terms, this adjustment implies that seven or fewer wins for the Colts this season is now more likely than it was immediately before the team’s Week 1 preseason game.

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