Colts-Texans Betting Odds: Opening Spread, Trends for AFC Wild Card Game

Colts-Texans Betting Odds: Opening Spread, Trends for AFC Wild Card Game article feature image

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Andrew Luck, Deshaun Watson

Betting Odds: Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans

  • Odds: Texans -2.5
  • Over/Under: 47.5
  • Time: 4:35 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jan. 5
  • TV: ESPN

>> All odds as of Monday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and track your bets

The Houston Texans opened as 2.5-point home favorites against the Indianapolis Colts in the AFC Wild Card Game. The Texans and Colts last met in Week 14, when Indianapolis snapped Houston’s nine-win streak with a 24-21 win on the road.

The Texans have never advanced past the divisional round. (The franchise’s first season was in 2002.)

Meanwhile, the Colts are back in the playoffs for the first time since 2014, ending their longest playoff drought since missing the postseason from 1988-1994.

Action Network Projections: Chargers-Ravens

Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, made the following power ratings for this game in the immediate aftermath of Week 17. For the most up-to-date projections, download The Action Network app.

  • Projected Spread: Texans -3.5
  • Projected Over/Under: 47

How the Colts Reached the Playoffs

After missing three straight postseasons, Andrew Luck and the Colts are back in the playoffs after winning only four games in 2017.

Indianapolis finished the regular season 8-7-1 against the spread, but enter the playoffs on a five-game win streak in which the Colts went 4-1 ATS. The likely turning point for the Colts? Being shutout by the Jaguars to open December.

How the Texans Reached the Playoffs

The Texans finished the regular season 7-8-1 ATS, losing bettors money against the number for the third consecutive season. Houston clinched a playoff spot in Week 16 despite its 32-30 loss to Philadelphia thanks to the Saints’ win over the Steelers the same week.

The Texans ended the regular season with 11 wins, their most under Bill O’Brien and just their third 10-plus win season in franchise history.

Betting Trends to Know

The AFC South had a play-in game on Sunday Night Football between the Colts and Titans. Now the division has its own game on wild-card weekend, with the Colts and Texans facing off.

  • The Texans failed to make the playoffs last season after Deshaun Watson was able to play only seven total games due to injury. Since 2003, teams that play a home playoff game in the wild-card round after not making the playoffs the season prior are just 10-22 (31.3%) ATS, failing to cover by 3.7 points per game.
  • Luck has dominated AFC South opponents in his career during the regular season, going 20-8-3 (70.4%) ATS including 14-4-2 ATS in November or later.

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