Sharp Money, Pro Betting Systems Aligned on Cowboys vs. Jets
Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: New York Jets quarterback Sam Darnold (14) hands off to New York Jets running back Le’Veon Bell (26).
- Sharps are leveraging historical betting data to find value in Sunday's Cowboys vs. Jets matchup.
- We examine how smart money is moving this line, and the winning Pro Systems behind the professional action.
There are plenty of interesting storylines surrounding Sunday’s Cowboys vs. Jets Week 6 game.
After starting 3-0 on the season with wins over the Giants, Redskins and Dolphins, the Cowboys have lost back-to-back games to the Saints and Packers.
Is Dallas for real? Or did it just beat up on terrible teams to start the year?
The Jets were competitive with the Bills in Week 1, but lost Sam Darnold to mono and subsequently dropped three straight to the Browns, Patriots and Eagles.
But unlike the Cowboys, is a tough recent stretch without its starting quarterback skewing New York’s perception across the betting market?
Thankfully, we can analyze winning betting systems based on historical data — which aren’t blinded by team records and recent results — and how the pros are approaching Cowboys vs. Jets.
Odds as of Wednesday at 2:30 p.m. ET. Check out PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).
As we know, winning, long-term bettors remove emotion from the equation and focus solely on value in the line.
Here’s how our NFL Pro Systems and market/smart money analysis suggest betting Cowboys vs. Jets.
Dallas opened as a 9-point favorite in this matchup, but the line has tumbled to -7 at the time of writing, which aligns with the value suggested by two of our NFL Pro Systems.
This is a very simple system that takes advantage of teams with poor against-the-spread (ATS) records playing those that have covered the majority of their games.
Casual bettors want no part of teams that have burned them through the first five weeks of the season and will certainly avoid them when the opponent has a winning ATS record.
This creates contrarian value for bettors willing to take the bad ATS team.
PRO Systems are data-driven betting strategies that turn winning long-term trends into easy-to-follow picks, all handpicked and monitored by our team of analysts. Try Action PRO now and instantly access real-time game matches for every PRO System.
Teams off poor offensive performances (fewer than 10 points) in their previous game that are also being avoided by bettors (30% or less of spread bets) are 148-95-4 (60.9%) ATS.
Again, we’re taking advantage of contrarian value as the masses overreact to one bad offensive performance by loading up on the opponent.
As mentioned above, this line has dropped from an opener of Jets +9 to +7, and sharp action is clearly responsible.
First, the Cowboys are getting 74% of all wagers on the spread, but just 51% of the money. This tell us that the bigger bets have come down on the Jets.
In fact, Sports Insights’ Bet Signals have reported four separate instances of market-moving money from respected bettors hitting New York, leaving no uncertainty regarding why this line has moved.