Cowboys-Colts Betting Preview: Time to Sell High on Big D?

Dec 16, 2018 06:54 AM EST

Credit: Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Ezekiel Elliott

Betting odds: Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts

  • Spread: Colts -3
  • Over/Under: 47.5
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: This is a polarizing game for both bettors and bookmakers. At the time of writing, Dallas is commanding a bit more than half the bets at 54%, but Indy is getting 64% of the money (see live betting data here).

Most books have moved the line to Cowboys +3 and I can’t imagine it will go past the key number of 3 to 3.5, so if you’re waiting for Dallas plus the hook, you should probably just bet it at +3 or not bet it at all. — Mark Gallant

Trends to know: A majority of spread tickets are on the Cowboys, who are on a five-game winning streak. In Andrew Luck’s career, he is 16-10-2 against the spread when getting fewer than 50% of bets, including 7-3-1 ATS when at home. — John Ewing

For the fifth time in 2018, Luck and the Colts face a top-notch defense. The Cowboys are allowing 18.9 PPG, which is second in the league behind the Ravens.

In Luck’s career, he is 14-4 (77.8%, +9 units) ATS when facing defenses that average fewer than 20 PPG allowed. He is the most profitable quarterback in this spot since 2012, per our Bet Labs data. — Evan Abrams

Did you know? The Dallas Cowboys have won three consecutive games straight up and ATS, but their average margin of victory is less than a touchdown. — Evan Abrams



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