Cowboys-Rams Betting Preview: Is Dallas Getting Too Much Love as an Underdog?

Credit:

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott (21), Rams RB Todd Gurley (30).

Jan 11, 2019, 02:37 AM EST

Betting odds: Dallas Cowboys at Los Angeles Rams

  • Spread: Rams -7
  • Over/Under: 50
  • Time: Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX 

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market

The Cowboys are commanding 57% of the spread bets, but the sharper money appears to be on the Rams, if the juice is any indication.

LA -7 is juiced up to -119 at the time of writing, meaning a move to -7.5 could be in store (check live betting data here).

This over/under is definitely the least interesting of the week. Both bets and dollars are within a couple percentage points of 50/50 and the total has only ticked up a half-point from the opener of 49.5. — Mark Gallant

Trends to know

Since the Cowboys’ last Super Bowl win in 1995-96, they are 4-9 straight up and 3-9-1 against the spread in the playoffs. — John Ewing

Underdogs in the Divisional Round have gone 37-21-1 ATS and dogs of seven or more points are 19-11-1 ATS since 2003 according to our Bet Labs data. — Ewing

The Rams earned a first round bye. Under Sean McVay, they are 5-1-1 ATS when they have eight or more days between games (including the first game of the season).

The Rams have covered the spread by 11.9 points per game in those games. — Ewing

The Rams finished the regular season 7-8-1 (46.7%) against the spread. Since 2003, only two teams have played a playoff game off a bye week with a losing record ATS:

  • 2017 Divisional Round: Steelers vs. Jaguars (lost, 42-45)
  • 2003 Super Bowl: Panthers vs. Patriots (lost, 29-32) Evan Abrams

The Cowboys beat the Seahawks — a physical, run-heavy team — in the Wild Card Round. Now they face an offensive, pass-heavy, powerhouse.

Under Jason Garrett, the Cowboys are 3-0 ATS in December or later when playing a team that’s averaging at least 30 points per game.

In those three games, Dallas’ opponents averaged only 11 points per game. — Abrams