D.K. Metcalf Fantasy Football Analysis with Seahawks

D.K. Metcalf Fantasy Football Analysis with Seahawks article feature image
Credit:

Credit: Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: D.K. Metcalf

  • See Matthew Freedman's fantasy football analysis for wide receiver D.K. Metcalf, who was drafted No. 64 overall by the Seattle Seahawks.

D.K. Metcalf Fantasy Football Analysis

  • Height: 6’3″ | Weight: 228 pounds
  • 40-yard dash: 4.33 seconds
  • School: Mississippi | Class: Redshirt Sophomore
  • 2019 age: 22 | Draft position: No. 64 overall

Widely expected to be selected in Round 1 as a draft attendee, Metcalf comes off the board at the end of Round 2.

On the one hand, it’s surprising. Metcalf has an über-elite combination of size and explosiveness, and his draft position prop had him slated as the No. 1 receiver off the board.

But on the other hand, Metcalf was downright sloth-like in his combine agility drills.

And in college he struggled to stay healthy: In only one of his three years at Ole Miss did he play an entire season. Plus, he never had a true breakout campaign. His most productive season came in 2017, when he had just 39 receptions, 646 yards and seven touchdowns.

Perhaps most importantly, Metcalf exhibited little nuance as a player: He lined up almost exclusively as the X receiver and ran a very limited route tree consisting almost entirely of nothing but flies, curls and fades. In the NFL, it’s very unlikely that he will ever be an effective receiver out of the slot, because he lacks the agility and route-running ability to operate in the middle of the field.

In other words, he’s basically a one-dimensional player.

Even so, at his best, Metcalf can be incredibly dominant in that one dimension. He has unbelievable playmaking potential as a downfield threat: His speed allows him to get past defenders, and his size gives him an edge on contested catches. And before a neck injury cut his season short, he was on pace for a 1,000-yard, 10-touchdown performance in 2018.

A classic boom-or-bust player, Metcalf might have the widest range of professional outcomes of any receiver in this class.

It theoretically is good for Metcalf that he now has Russell Wilson as his quarterback. But the Seahawks are such a run-heavy team that Metcalf might see relatively few targets per game, especially wide receiver Doug Baldwin and Tyler Lockett already have established connections with Wilson.

For dynasty rookie drafts, Metcalf firmly belongs in the bottom half of Round 1. If you’re the type of dynasty manager who likes to maximize your exposure to risk, Metcalf is the 2019 rookie pick for you.

NFL Comp: Darrius Heyward-Bey with more size and less agility

Matthew Freedman is the Editor-in-Chief of FantasyLabs. He has a dog and sometimes a British accent. In Cedar Rapids, Iowa, he’s known only as The Labyrinthian.