Best Eagles-Giants TNF Prop Bets: Will Saquon Barkley Reach 49.5 Receiving Yards?

Best Eagles-Giants TNF Prop Bets: Will Saquon Barkley Reach 49.5 Receiving Yards? article feature image

Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Saquon Barkley

  • There are two props offering betting value in the Thursday Night Football game between the Philadelphia Eagles and New York Giants.
  • This piece will analyze the following prop bets: Giants WR Cody Latimer over/under 19.5 receiving yards and Saquon Barkley over/under 49.5 receiving yards.

There are two NFL player prop bets offering value in the Philadelphia Eagles-New York Giants matchup on Thursday Night Football, which kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET on NFL Network and Fox.

The Action Network’s public betting data will often be used in this data-driven analysis of props, along with the tools at FantasyLabs.

>>Check out the FantasyLabs Prop Tool to see the 12 props for Thursday night’s Eagles-Giants matchup rated an 8 out of 10 or better. All odds referenced here are as of 2 p.m. ET on Thursday.

Giants WR Cody Latimer

The pick: Under 19.5 receiving yards (+160 at 5Dimes)

The Eagles defense has allowed the third-most receiving yards in the NFL this season, but the Giants pass offense will continue to funnel through Odell Beckham Jr., Sterling Shepard and Saquon Barkley.

There’s an argument for an increase in production for Latimer, mostly due to the matchup. Tight end Evan Engram and wide receiver Russell Shepard have also been ruled out. But while dealing with their respective injuries, Engram and Shepard represent only 21 targets through five weeks, and Latimer has essentially been an afterthought for Eli Manning.

Latimer has a paltry 5% target share and only 56 receiving yards so far this season. He’s failed to reach 19.5 receiving yards in two of the three games he has played this season, so it’s certainly an intriguing value opportunity at +160 in a Thursday night game.

Giants RB Saquon Barkley

The pick: Under 49.5 receiving yards (-135 at Bovada)

Barkley is locked into a solid role in the passing game, but his massive games as a receiver might be overinflating his line in the props market.

The Cowboys’ zone looks took away the short-intermediate game for Giants receivers in Week 2, which opened the door for a big game from Barkley through the air. But the Eagles play much tighter man coverage.

Barkley’s 20.25 yards per reception on four catches in Week 5 looks like a bit of an outlier. That level of uber-efficiency is not likely to repeat against an Eagles team that has allowed the 12th-fewest yards to the position.

Thursday’s line at 49.5 receiving yards is a tad aggressive for my taste.