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Eagles vs. Browns Odds & Picks: Our Model’s Edge For Sunday


Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images. Pictured: Carson Wentz #11 of the Philadelphia Eagles and Travis Fulgham #13

Eagles vs. Browns Odds

Eagles Odds +2.5
Browns Odds -2.5
Over/Under 45.5
PRO Projections Browns -1.3 | O/U: 48.2
Time/Channel  1 p.m. ET, FOX
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Profitable data-driven system picks

One of the best strategies to improve your win rate when betting on NFL spreads is by shopping for the best line.

Taking an extra 30 seconds to snag that extra half-point can turn potential losses into pushes and even pushes into wins, improving your against-the-spread win rate over the long haul.

This is even more crucial when an NFL spread is dancing around a key number, which is exactly the case with today’s Eagles vs. Browns Week 11 matchup.

Let’s take a look at the smart way to bet this game, including how to make a solid edge even bigger.

Eagles vs. Browns Pick

Big Money

According to The Action Network’s NFL public betting data, Philly has landed 45% of spread tickets, but that slight minority of bets accounts for 55% of the money (click here for updated betting percentages).

This is a clear signal that bettors with bigger bankrolls are jumping on the road underdog.

Model Projection

Thanks to our NFL model’s Eagles vs. Browns projection, we know that this spread should be closer to a pick’em — Philadelphia +1.3 to be exact.

The difference between the current consensus line of +2.5 and projected line of +1.3 represents a 4.2% edge for the Eagles.

While that’s bettable in its own right, we can improve that even more simply by comparing prices at different sportsbooks.

For example, BetMGM is one of a handful of shops still offering Eagles +3 (the most important line in NFL betting), meaning savvy bettors looking to play Philly should jump on that number right now to maximize their edge.

If model projections are your thing, be sure to sign up for a FREE PRO Trial right now to see all of today’s biggest NFL betting edges.

Top Experts

Our top NFL experts have rushed to back the Eagles as well, with four locking in Philadelphia and the points.

PRO Report Angle: Eagles +3

Unlock all of Sunday’s biggest betting edges!

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