Giants vs. Buccaneers Odds, Picks & More
Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Saquon Barkley
Giants at Buccaneers Betting Odds
- Odds: Buccaneers -6.5
- Total: 47.5
- Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: FOX
Odds above as of Sunday morning and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can exclusively bet every NFL spread this season at reduced juice (-105).
Sean Koerner compares his projected spread and total to the market to identify any potential value, while our staff reveals how they’re betting this game.
Sean Koerner’s Projected Giants-BuccaneersOdds
- Projected Spread: Buccaneers -6
- Projected Total: 49
The Daniel Jones era has arrived.
Eli Manning has been benched in favor of the sixth overall pick, who will make his NFL debut on the road. Before the season started, I wrote that when this switch was made, it likely wouldn’t impact my Giants’ power rating. The market seems to agree, as the line has stayed at the 6.5 opener despite the surprise announcement.
Last week I recommended taking the Buccaneers moneyline in the +240 and +260 range instead of at +6.5 since their Thursday night showdown against the Panthers featured two highly-volatile QBs. I’m thinking the same thing here with the Giants moneyline available in the +240 range — that way you get the built-in uncertainty of Jones’ debut and Jameis Winston’s wide range of week-to-week performances.
While I agree the Bucs should be right around 6-point favorites, it’s a line that has a wider range of outcomes than most, which is why taking the dog on the moneyline here makes the most sense. — Sean Koerner
Mike Randle: Bucs -6.5
There are too many things in the Buccaneers favor in this matchup.
Mike Evans is fully healthy and should draw less attention given the early-season numbers that Chris Godwin is posting. Evans has finished with over 1,000 receiving yards in each of his first five seasons, and is due for positive regression on his 89 total receiving yards this season.
On the other side of the ball, defensive coordinator Todd Bowles has the Tampa Bay defense playing at a surprisingly efficient level. Through two games, the Buccaneers rank first overall in run defense DVOA.
Most importantly? Jones is making his first NFL start on the road with a decimated receiving corps and may be without his starting left guard.
This sets up as a great opportunity for the Tampa Bay offense to get right and the Bucs are coming off extra rest.
The Giants are trending in the opposite direction, heading on the road with a rookie quarterback and taking on the best run defense through the first two weeks of the season.
I’m taking Tampa Bay -6.5 and would feel comfortable taking this line up to 7.5.
Stuckey: Why I’m Using the Bucs in 6-point Teasers
I’d also add that Tampa’s 3-4 defense under Bowles looks much improved, especially in the interior with Ndamukong Suh and Vita Vea. The Bucs are allowing 2.7 yards per rush, which ranks third in the NFL, and that bodes well for them on Sunday since the Giants offense right now is basically all focused on Saquon Barkley.
This new-look Tampa defense looks up to the task and I don’t think Jones and his underwhelming group of receivers can exploit the Bucs’ weakness on defense: their secondary.
Teasing the Bucs down to -0.5 crosses them through 6, 4 and 3, so they’re definitely an option to consider for teaser players.