The Top Giants vs. Eagles Prop Bet & Pick for MNF
USA Today Sports. Pictured: Eli Manning
- Justin Bailey highlights the top prop bet for Monday Night Football between the New York Giants and Philadelphia Eagles.
- Find his pick for Eli Manning's rushing yardage prop as the veteran quarterback makes his return to the field tonight.
NFL player prop bets can offer some of the best betting value on the board in any given week. They typically feature smaller limits and take less action than traditional game bets, so the market can often be less efficient than NFL sides and totals.
This is where the FantasyLabs Player Props tool comes in handy.
We leverage prop bets against our player projections from Sean Koerner, the No. 1 in-season fantasy football ranker in three of the past four seasons.
Each prop bet then receives a Bet Quality grade between 1 and 10, with 10 being the biggest edge.
Note that unders have typically done the best in our tool. Last season unders were profitable even with grades below 10, with all hitting at a 59.0% rate. Don’t take our word for it, though: Our tool keeps track of its record at all times, so you can query performance of any time frame.
Giants vs. Eagles Prop Bets
Now let’s take a look at the top prop worth considering for the Monday Night Football contest between the New York Giants and Philadelphia Eagles.
Giants QB Eli Manning
THE PICK: Under 1.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
You haven’t quite lived until you’ve had the chance to sweat a single-digit rushing yard quarterback prop from a non-running quarterback. Every time he drops back to pass you wonder if this is the play that ruins your bet. Anyway, spending your Monday night hoping Manning doesn’t rush for two yards seems like the perfect way to utilize your time.
Dating back to 2017, Eli has 29 rushing attempts in 30 games. Of those 30 games, he’s rushed for two or more yards in 11 of them. So, in 63% of his games, he would’ve hit the under on this prop.
If you were to bet the under over the long run at the current odds, you would come out ahead quite easily. At -115 odds, you’d need to win 53.4% of the time to be break even and at -120 you’d need to win at a 54.5% clip.
You could have bet this under all the way to -160 over the last two years and still saw a profit since at -160 you need a 61.5% win rate.
I like the under here but wouldn’t bet it worse than -160.
To me, this game could be relatively gross, and the addition of Eli back in the lineup has me hesitant to target their pass-catchers since it may be harder to project usage. I’ve already bet the first-half and full-game under. As of now, this is the only prop that has my attention.