Texans-Eagles Betting Preview: Ride with Nick Foles, Philly off Big Win?


USA Today Sports. Pictured: J.J. Watt, Nick Foles

Dec 23, 2018, 04:50 AM EST

Betting odds: Houston Texans at Philadelphia Eagles

  • Spread: Eagles -1
  • Over/Under: 46
  • Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Thursday evening. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: Following their big Week 16 win over the Rams, the Eagles have attracted a slight majority of bets. Their 54% of bets has generated 67% of the money wagered as of writing (see live data here), which has moved this line from a pick’em to -1.

Meanwhile, 69% of bets and 97% of dollars are on the over, which has ticked the number up from 45 to 46.Danny Donahue

Trends to know: The 7-7 Eagles are in the playoff hunt and will need a win to make the postseason.

Recreational bettors often overvalue home-field advantage and playoff motivation. Teams like the Eagles with a win percentage between .500 and .667 have gone 91-119-5 (43%) against the spread when playing at home in Weeks 15-17. John Ewing

The Eagles pulled off their biggest upset since 1985 with last week’s win over the Rams. Since 2003, teams coming off a win as a double-digit underdog are 28-37-4 (43.1%) ATS in their next game, including 15-24-3 (38.5%) ATS over the past decade. Evan Abrams

Playoff picture: It’s pretty simple for Houston: Win and you’re in. A victory would also obviously help the Texans’ chances of getting a first-round bye. They’re currently the 2-seed, one game up on the Patriots.

New England has a very easy schedule down the stretch (home vs. Bills and Jets), so a loss from Houston could prove costly.

The Eagles still have a real shot to make the dance (40% odds, according to our simulations). They’ll be big Lions fans on Sunday, as a Vikings loss and an Eagles win would result in Philly grabbing hold of the 6-seed. — Scott T. Miller

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