Reinhold Matay, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Cody Kessler, USA Today Sports.
Betting odds: Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars
- Spread: Colts -4
- Over/Under: 47
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- TV channel: CBS
>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets
Betting market: The Colts are going for their sixth-straight win. The Jags just lost to the Bills, fired their OC and benched their starting QB. Unsurprisingly, the public is all over Indy at the time of writing — to the tune of 75% of bets (see live betting data here).
Indy has moved to -3 to -4 since opening. The line had reached 4.5, but sharps actually hit the Jags at that number pretty hard. Given Blake Bortles’ performance this year, his value to the spread isn’t going to be worth that much more than Cody Kessler’s.
With 65% of bets, this game features the second-most popular under of the week, which has helped push the total down from 48 to 47. — Mark Gallant
Weather report: This game is projected to have average wind speeds of just a hair over 10 mph blowing across the field with temperatures in the upper 70s. —Mark Gallant
For whatever reason, road teams do well in windy games in the Sunshine State. Since 2003, when there is at least 10 mph winds at a Jaguars, Buccaneers or Dolphins game in Florida, the road team is 71-37-3 against the spread. — Evan Abrams
Trends to know: As a road favorite, Andrew Luck is 12-3 straight up and 10-5 against the spread, covering on average by 3.3 points per game, according to our Bet Labs data.
As a road favorite in division games, Luck is 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS. — John Ewing