Colts-Chiefs Betting Preview: Will K.C.’s Playoff Woes Continue?

Jan 12, 2019 12:41 AM EST
Credit:

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Colts QB Andrew Luck (12), Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes (15).

Betting odds: Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs

  • Spread: Chiefs -5
  • Over/Under: 57
  • Time: Saturday, 4:35 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: NBC

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market

When the Chiefs opened at -4 they were the choice of early bettors. From Sunday night to Monday morning, they moved from -4 to -6 and at one point had more than 60% of bets.

Since then, it’s been all Colts. They now command 57% of bets and nearly 70% of the money, which has helped drive the line back down to +5 as of Thursday (check out the live odds here).

The over was also a popular choice early on. After opening at 55.5, it had moved to 57 by Tuesday morning behind about 70% of bets and 80% of dollars. It has remained at 57, but more support has come in on the under to push those percentages down to about 65% and 60%, respectively. — Mark Gallant

Weather report

Initially, snow in New England was expected to be this weekend’s weather storyline. The forecast in Foxboro is dry now, but Kansas City is trending in the opposite direction.

Snow in the morning will simmer down by gametime, but snow (maybe even rain), squalls and showers will be in the area for the rest of the day.

Snow is probably the ficklest of things to predict so I would check to see the latest forecast on Saturday morning. — Gallant

Trends to know

Since the NFL-AFL merger in 1970, the Chiefs are 4-16 straight up and 3-17 against the spread in the playoffs, including 0-9 against the spread at home. — Evan Abrams

This will be the ninth time Andy Reid has led a team to the playoffs since reaching the Super Bowl with the Philadelphia Eagles in the 2004-05 season.

Reid’s teams have gone 4-8 straight up and against the spread, according to our Bet Labs data.

Reid has gone one-and-done in five of his past nine playoff appearances — John Ewing

The Colts, a dome team, will be playing outside on Saturday. Since 1990, dome teams are 12-44 SU and 18-36-2 ATS in outdoor playoff games. — Ewing

The over/under for Chiefs-Colts opened 56.5 and has been bet up to 57 at the time of writing.

Since 2003, there have been four playoff games with a total of 57 or more points. The over went 4-0 in those games going over by 6.5 points on average. — Ewing