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Colts-Titans SNF Betting Preview: Who Will Win the AFC’s Final Wild-Card Spot?

Dec 30, 2018 5:15 PM EST

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Andrew Luck, Marcus Mariota

Betting odds: Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans

  • Spread: Colts -3
  • Over/Under: 43
  • Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: NBC

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: Everyone is on the Colts, which makes sense, with Marcus Mariota being ruled out. Indy is the most popular bet of the week, getting 76% of the betting tickets as of 5:30 p.m. ET on Sunday (see live data here).

This line opened at Colts -2.5, and moved all the way to -5 on Sunday after the Mariota news came out. Mark Gallant

Playoff picture: The headline gave it away, but this is effectively a winner-take-all game.

There is only one scenario in which neither the Colts nor the Titans makes it to the postseason, and that would require the two teams to tie and the Steelers to win.

How unlikely is that? It popped up zero times in the 10,000 simulations we ran of Week 17. Scott T. Miller

Trends to know: Since 2003, teams receiving the majority spread ticket count in Week 17’s prime-time game (like the Colts) are 11-5-1 (68.8%) against the spread. — Evan Abrams

Andrew Luck has dominated the AFC South, going 19-8-3 ATS in division games, including 15-5-2 ATS when favored, per our Bet Labs data.

As a road favorite, Luck is 7-2 ATS in division games, covering by an average of 6.9 points per game. John Ewing