Best Jets-Browns TNF Player Props: David Njoku Over/Under 30.5 Receiving Yards?

Sep 20, 2018 3:30 PM EDT
  • The New York Jets are 3-point underdogs to the Cleveland Browns on Thursday Night Football.
  • We break down two player prop bets with value: Jets RB Bilal Powell over/under 18.5 receiving yards and Browns TE David Njoku over/under 30.5 receiving yards.

Here’s analysis of two NFL player prop bets offering value in the New York Jets-Cleveland Browns matchup on Thursday Night Football, which kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET on NFL Network.

The Action Network’s public betting data will often be used in this data-driven analysis of props, along with the tools at FantasyLabs.


>> Check out the FantasyLabs prop tool to see the six bets rated an 8 out of 10 or better for tonight’s Jets-Browns game. All lines are as of 3:30 p.m. ET on Thursday.


Jets RB Bilal Powell

The pick: Over 18.5 receiving yards (-125 at 5Dimes)

The Browns have not received the majority of spread tickets as a favorite since Nov. 30, 2015, so expect this game script to skew in favor of the Jets using Powell being more as a receiver.

That is exactly where Cleveland has been most vulnerable to start the season, as the Browns currently rank 30th in DVOA at defending running backs through the air (Football Outsiders).

When receiving at least three targets, Powell has averaged 26.81 receiving yards per game in 48 career games.

Browns TE David Njoku

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Credit:

Credit: Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: David Njoku

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SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
HOU
WAS
43
+3
42.5
+3
CIN
BAL
43.5
-4.5
43.5
-4
PIT
JAC
47.5
+6
47
+5.5
CAR
DET
50.5
+3
49.5
+4.5
DAL
ATL
47.5
-4.5
50
-3
TEN
IND
48
-3
50.5
-1
TB
NYG
52
PK
52.5
-2.5
OAK
ARI
41
-4
41
-5.5
DEN
LAC
47
-7.5
45.5
-7
PHI
NO
54.5
-9
56
-7.5
MIN
CHI
45.5
-2.5
44.5
-2.5
KC
LA
63.5
-1
63
-3.5