Chiefs-Chargers Betting Preview: Sharp Action on the Over/Under

Chiefs-Chargers Betting Preview: Sharp Action on the Over/Under article feature image

Dennis Wierzbicki-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Patrick Mahomes

Betting odds: Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers

  • Spread: Chargers -3.5
  • Over/Under: 47.5
  • Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Sunday afternoon. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: While there’s not much to report regarding the spread, sharp action on the over has pushed this total up from 47.

Sports Insights’ Bet Signals triggered a steam move on the over Tuesday afternoon that included quick line adjustments from Pinnacle and Buckeye, two sportsbooks that are willing to take big-money action from professionals. — PJ Walsh

Trends to know: Andy Reid is known as a good bet following a bye week with his teams posting a 10-5 ATS record with 14 or more days between games.

If you expand this to the regular season with more than a week to prepare, Reid’s teams are 30-19 ATS.

Unfortunately, this success hasn’t carried over to openers as he is 8-7 ATS in them since 2003. — John Ewing

If the Chargers are going to become a real AFC threat in 2018 (as I think they can), they need to address two issues that have held them back in recent years: slow starts and the Chiefs.

They get a chance to reverse both in Week 1 against a Chiefs team that has won eight straight in the series, including three in a row by double digits.

The player who needs to step up the most? Philip Rivers, who just can’t seem to figure out Chiefs defensive coordinator Bob Sutton (6 TDs and 13 INTs during this 0-8 stretch).

If he can’t do it this year, he never will, as I am very low on this Kansas City defense. Stuckey

Injury watch: Both the Chargers and Chiefs are dealing with one massive injury on defense.

LA could be without Pro Bowler Joey Bosa (foot), while the Chiefs might not have all-world safety Eric Berry (heel).

The good news for the Chargers is that the rest of the team’s training camp injuries have cleared up, as defensive backs Casey Hayward (hamstring) and Trevor Williams (ankle) and receiver Tyrell Williams (foot) are all good to go for Sunday. — Ian Hartitz

DFS edge: Kansas City prides itself on taking away the short area of the field, but after trading away Marcus Peters to the Rams this offseason, the Chiefs are at a massive talent disadvantage where Keenan Allen does the majority of his damage.

In 2017, Allen’s total target depth was just 9.4 yards, and he is expected to run the majority of his routes against Kendall Fuller. That is PFF’s ninth-best WR/CB advantage of the week.

Travis Kelce looks like a solid pivot in tournaments considering how loose pricing is on both sites and with more ownership expected to go to Rob Gronkowski at the high end of the salary scale.

Admittedly, the matchup isn’t fantastic — the Chargers tied for the second-fewest touchdowns allowed to tight ends last season — but Kelce owns the top leverage score at the position in FantasyLabs’ Models. — Joe Holka

Editor’s note: The opinions on this game are from the individual writers and are based on their research, analysis and perspective. They are independent of, and may not always match with, the algorithm-driven Best Bets from Sports Insights.