Kansas City Chiefs Betting Primer: Super Bowl Odds, Win Total, More

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Primer: Super Bowl Odds, Win Total, More article feature image
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Focus on Sport/Getty Images. Pictured: Patrick Mahomes.

Kansas City Chiefs Odds

Market
Odds
Implied Prob.
Super Bowl Odds
+600 [Bet Now]
7%
Conference Odds
+300 [Bet Now]
25%
Division Odds
-500 [Bet Now]
83.33%
Playoff Odds
-1000 [Bet Now]
90.91%

Odds as of Sept. 10 and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.

If you’re new to betting, the Chiefs’ +600 Super Bowl odds mean a $100 bet would net $600 if they won. [Convert odds using our betting odds calculator.]


It’s going to be difficult for the Chiefs to top their 2019 accomplishments, but the reigning Super Bowl champions are in position to do just that. With the majority of last year’s team returning, including a fully healthy Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City has the potential to be even more dominant in 2020.

Our analysts break down the Chiefs’ win total and key questions facing Kansas City below.

Chiefs Win Total

Win Total
11.5
Over Odds
-125 [Bet Now]
Under Odds
+105 [Bet Now]

Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, breaks down how he’s betting the Chiefs’ win total.

It’s remarkable that his 2019 Super Bowl MVP campaign could be considered a “worst-case scenario” season for Patrick Mahomes.

Mahomes dealt with ankle/knee injuries for much of the regular season. Between the two games he missed and the four games he had to play without Tyreek Hill, the Chiefs were without their two most valuable players for six full games.

Yet, despite those circumstances, every underlying metric indicates they really were as good as their 12-4 record would suggest. In fact, given their poor injury luck and third-worst fumble luck, you could argue the reigning champions will be even better this season.

Their offense has the potential to break NFL records. And that’s without factoring in how the potential absence of fans could fuel offensive scoring across the league as it’ll be easier for home and away teams to call out any adjustments needed at the line of scrimmage.

I’m showing slight value on the Chiefs’ under, but I don’t think I’ll touch it. As of writing, they’re one of only a few teams set to open the season with fans at their home games — a factor that will influence how much home-field advantage any team will have.

Key Questions for the Chiefs

Stuckey, a football betting analyst and host of The Action Network podcast, runs through three key questions for the Chiefs heading into 2020.

1. Will the Chiefs miss a beat with Clyde Edwards-Helaire? With Damien Williams opting out, the pressure is on the rookie running back out of LSU. It’ll likely be tougher than usual for rookies to contribute early on this season with the limited offseason and no preseason games. With that said, Helaire seems to have landed in the most ideal spot possible for a rookie.

2. Will Patrick Mahomes stay healthy? It’s worth its own question — he’s that important and that good in a quarterback-driven league.

3. Can the Chiefs become the first team since the 2004 Patriots to win back-to-back Super Bowls? The Chiefs essentially kept the band together after inking Chris Jones to a deal. They’ll likely still struggle to defend the run and don’t have the strongest group of cornerbacks, but the offense is more than capable of carrying them to a repeat title — as long as No. 15 stays on the field.

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