USA Today Sports. Pictured: Melvin Ingram, Denzel Ward
Betting odds: Los Angeles Chargers at Cleveland Browns
- Spread: PK
- Over/Under: 45
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Channel: CBS
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Betting market: Quite early in the week, sharp action on the Browns pushed them down from +2 to a PK. This stemmed from a reverse line move at Pinnacle, one of the sharpest offshore books on the market.
Trends to know: Since 2003, no stadium has treated under bettors better than FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland. The Under is 74-47-1 (61.2%) at the Dawg Pound according to our Bet Labs data, profiting bettors 23.1 units in that span. — Evan Abrams
Not only has the under been profitable in Cleveland but weather is providing another reason to bet the under in this one. The forecast calls for average wind speeds of 13 mph during the game.
Since 2003, in NFL games with average winds of 10 mph or stronger the under is 439-351-10 (56%). (Be sure to check the forecast closer to kickoff, as forecasts can shift.) — John Ewing
Metrics that matter: The Chargers will really miss Joey Bosa this week against a very vulnerable Browns offensive line that has allowed the second-most sacks in the league and ranks 30th in adjusted sack rate.
Cleveland struggles at both tackle spots, but can now focus its efforts on doubling Melvin Ingram.
The Chargers’ 4-3 scheme is just not the same without Bosa. L.A. has 11 sacks on the season (tied for 19th in NFL) — six fewer than the Chargers had at this same point last season. — Stuckey