Rams-Cardinals Betting Preview: Can You Trust L.A. as a Massive Favorite?


Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jared Goff, Sean McVay

Dec 23, 2018, 12:25 PM EST

Betting odds: Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals

  • Spread: Rams -15
  • Over/Under: 44.5
  • Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX

>> All odds as of Friday afternoon. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: The Rams aren’t that popular for such heavy favorites, with barely 61% of bets coming in on L.A. as of writing (see live data here).

They have, however, moved from -13.5 to -15. Sharps have bet both sides of this spread, though the Cards have been more popular at this current line.

The over/under has seen far more interesting betting activity. The under is getting an insane amount of support with almost 80% of bets and more than 90% of dollars. It’s dropped from 47.5 to 44.5 since opening.Mark Gallant

Trends to know: The Rams lost to the Eagles as 13.5-point favorites last week. Since 2003, teams that lost their previous game as a double-digit favorite have gone 40-24-3 (63%) against the spread in their next game. John Ewing

Averaging 30 points per game in the NFL is hard. It also comes with lofty expectations.

The Chiefs, Rams and Saints are averaging that many points and have recently worn that mark like a scarlet letter.

Combined, the three teams are 2-6 ATS in December, following a very profitable trend: Since 2003, teams averaging at least 30 points per game in December or later are 60-89-3 (40.3%) ATS, including 4-14 ATS over the past two seasons.

The Cardinals are averaging only 13.7 points per game — the fewest in the NFL. Since 2003, teams averaging at least 30 points per game are 11-4 straight-up but 1-14 ATS when facing teams averaging fewer than 17 points per game in December or later, failing to cover by 5.8 points per game. Evan Abrams

Playoff picture: The Rams looks like they’re locked into the NFC’s No. 2 seed. They could, in theory, jump the Saints, but that would require New Orleans to go 0-2 down the stretch and for LA to win out.

The Saints’ remaining schedule is tough — Steelers and Panthers — but both games come at home. Scott T. Miller

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