Rams-Raiders Betting Preview: Fade the Public and Bet on Jon Gruden?

Sep 10, 2018 12:00 AM EDT

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jon Gruden

Betting odds: Los Angeles Rams at Oakland Raiders

  • Spread: Rams -4
  • Over/Under: 48
  • Time: 10:20 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN

>> All odds as of Sunday evening. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: Bettors are not buying Jon Gruden’s plan to make Raiders football 1999 again. Seventy-seven percent of bets and 74% of dollars are laying the points with the Rams.

Should the line tick up to 4.5, it’ll be interesting to monitor whether professionals are willing to buy back Oakland at that price (see live market data here). — PJ Walsh

Trend to know: Like Jon Snow, we know nothing about the NFL in Week 1 — or at least not as much as we think we do.

When there is lopsided betting action — 75% or more of tickets on a game — the best time to fade the public is early in the season. Since 2003, teams receiving 75% or more of bets in September have gone 66-82-3 (45%) against the spread.John Ewing

Injury watch: The Rams’ decision to hold out nearly every key starter during the preseason has paid off, as only tight end Gerald Everett (shoulder) and outside linebacker Dominique Easley (knee) appear to be at risk of missing the game due to injury.

Defensive tackle Aaron Donald finally received a much-deserved contract extension, but it remains to be seen whether the team will rest him in Week 1 like the Rams did after his training camp holdout last season.

Other than right tackle Donald Penn (foot, questionable), the Raiders’ biggest concern is the status of kicker Eddy Pineiro (groin). — Ian Hartitz 

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