Dolphins-Texans TNF Betting Preview: Osweiler Will Be on the Run

Oct 25, 2018 03:50 PM EDT

USA Today Sports. Pictured: DeShaun Watson, Brock Osweiler

Betting odds: Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans

  • Spread: Texans -7.5
  • Over/Under: 44
  • Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX/NFL Network

>> All odds as of Wednesday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: While spread action has been relatively boring, steady money on the under has pushed the total down from 45.5 to 44.5, and even to 44 at some spots.

At the time of writing, 60% of tickets and 76% of dollars wagered on the total have played the under, explaining why this number has dropped throughout the week (see live betting data here). — PJ Walsh

Trends to know: This is the third game in Deshaun Watson’s career in which he has been favored by a touchdown or more. Houston won the previous two games by an average of 11.5 points but went 1-1 against the spread.

On the other side, Brock Osweiler has been an underdog of more than three points in 10 previous NFL games, and he’s gone 2-8 straight up and 3-7 ATS. — John Ewing

For whatever reason, the Houston Texans struggle under the bright lights. Houston is 11-23 straight up and 7-25-2 ATS in prime-time games. Evan Abrams

Biggest mismatch: Dolphins pass-blocking vs. Texans pass-rush

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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