Koerner’s MNF Miracle Odds: Chances Packers & Vikings Players Will Win Your Fantasy Football Championship

Koerner’s MNF Miracle Odds: Chances Packers & Vikings Players Will Win Your Fantasy Football Championship article feature image
Credit:

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Aaron Jones, Davante Adams

  • Need a Monday night miracle to win your fantasy football championship? Sean Koerner has you covered.
  • He calculated the odds of key Packers and Vikings players reaching certain point thresholds to win your matchup.
  • For example: Need 20 points from Packers running back Aaron Jones? There's a 10.8% chance of that happening.

Fantasy football championship coming down to the wire?

I simulated tonight’s Packers-Vikings matchup 10,000 times to calculate the probability of key players hitting certain point thresholds to win your league title. So, for example: Need 26 points from Davante Adams? He has a 5.8%chance of pulling out a MNF miracle for you.

Here are the players I’ll touch on:

  • Packers: Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Jones, Jamaal Williams, Davante Adams, Allen Lazard, Jimmy Graham
  • Vikings: Kirk Cousins, Mike Boone, Stefon Diggs, Adam Thielen, Kyle Rudolph, Irv Smith Jr.

Now let’s dig into the full odds. (Note these are based on half PPR scoring.)

Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers

Kirk Cousins, QB, Vikings

Aaron Jones, RB, Packers

Jamaal Williams, RB, Packers

Mike Boone, RB, Vikings

Davante Adams, WR, Packers

Allen Lazard, WR, Packers

Stefon Diggs, WR, Vikings

Adam Thielen, WR, Vikings

Jimmy Graham, TE, Packers

Kyle Rudolph, TE, Vikings

Irv Smith Jr., TE, Vikings