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Patriots-Dolphins Betting Preview: Weather Could Loom Large in Miami

Dec 09, 2018 12:29 AM EST
Credit:

David Butler II, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Josh McDaniels, Tom Brady and Bill Belichick

Betting odds: New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins

  • Spread: Patriots -7.5
  • Over/Under: 47
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: There’s been some textbook pros vs. joes activity in this game. At the time of writing, this is what the betting market looks like (see live data here):

  • 71% of bets on the Pats
  • 56% of the money on Miami
  • Three bet signals on Miami

We’ve also seen some reverse line movement, as New England has moved from -9 to -7.5 and even -7 at some books.

The over/under has seen similar activity, with an overwhelming amount of money coming in on the under (88%). It’s no surprise the total has dropped from 48 to 47 since opening. —Mark Gallant

Weather report: Warm and windy. All those Pats fans heading down to Miami to watch the game will be in for a treat, as temps will be in the low-to-mid 80s. Winds will be blowing in the 14 mph range across the field, which could obviously impact passes downfield and field goals. —Mark Gallant

Trends to know: Since 2003, home underdogs getting seven or more points are 142-118-5 (55%) against the spread, per our Bet Labs data.

Late in the season, December to January, these teams are 62-45-4 (58%) ATS. Teams facing the Patriots in this situation are 10-6-1 ATS. — John Ewing

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