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Patriots-Steelers Betting Preview: Believe in Brady Coming Off a Loss?

Dec 16, 2018 1:00 PM EST
Credit:

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Tom Brady, Ben Roethlisberger

Betting odds: New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Spread: Patriots -3
  • Over/Under: 52
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: All signs point to Ben Roethlisberger playing, but the betting line is drastically different than last week’s lookahead line at the Westgate, which had the Steelers favored at -2.5.

When most books opened this game on Tuesday, the Pats were 1-point favorites. That has since risen to -3, as the Patriots are the most popular bet of the week with 77% of bets and 65% of the money as of writing (see live data here).

I’d expect some buyback on the Steelers now, especially with any further confirmation that Roethlisberger is healthy. Mark Gallant

Trends to know: The Patriots lost to the Dolphins on the final play of their Week 14 matchup. Since 2003, Tom Brady is 34-11 against the spread following a regular-season loss. John Ewing

This will be the Patriots’ second straight game away from Foxborough, but no quarterback has come close to achieving the success that Brady has had playing back-to-back road games.

Brady is 21-10-1 (67.7%) ATS in the second of two straight road games since 2003, covering by 6.5 points per game. When the Pats face an opponent with a record better than .500 in this spot, Brady is 16-4 (80%) ATS, covering by 12 points per game. Evan Abrams

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