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Saints-Panthers MNF Betting Preview: Is Who Dat Getting Too Much Respect?

Dec 18, 2018 7:15 PM EST
Credit:

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Drew Brees, Cam Newton

Betting odds: New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers

  • Spread: Saints -6
  • Over/Under: 49.5
  • Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN

>> All odds as of Sunday evening. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: This game is a great pros vs. joes example.

The Saints — one of the best teams in the league — are getting more than 60% of bets. The money, however, is heavily on the Panthers with almost 60% as of writing (see live data here).

There’s also been a reverse line move triggered on the Panthers, helping them move from +6.5 to +6 despite the lack of public support.

The under has received big money with almost 75% of dollars, dropping the total from 54 to 49.5 since opening. Mark Gallant

Trends to know: Elite teams tend to be overvalued late in the season. Since 2003, teams that have won 80% or more of their games, like the Saints, have gone 114-146-3 (44%) against the spread in December or later, per our Bet Labs data.John Ewing

Those teams struggle even more when they’re elite at scoring.

Since 2003, teams that have won at least 80% of games and are averaging at least 30 points per game are 33-55-1 (37.5%) ATS in December or later, including 8-16 ATS in prime time and 10-25-1 ATS on the road.Evan Abrams

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