Giants-Redskins Betting Preview: Handicapping Mark Sanchez’s First Start in 3 Years
Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Washington Redskins quarterback Mark Sanchez (6).
Betting odds: New York Giants at Washington Redskins
- Spread: Giants -3.5
- Over/Under: 41
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FOX
>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets
Betting market: Mark Sanchez at quarterback? Fewer than 25% of bettors are on Washington, but the Redskins have received some sharp action, as bet signals have been triggered on +4.5 and +4.
Most books are now at 3.5, so it will be interesting to see if there’s another wave of action that pushes the Redskins to the key number of +3 (check out the most updated click here for the most updated odds). — Mark Gallant
Trend to know: Since 2003, the under is 22-15-2 (59.5%) in December or later at FedEx Field, making it one of six stadiums where bettors have profited at least 6.0 units on the under in this spot.
When the Redskins face a divisional opponent in this spot, the under is 13-6-2 (68.4%), going under the total by 3.3 points per game. — Abrams
Did you know? If the current spread holds, this will be just the third time that Eli Manning will be listed as a road favorite since the beginning of the 2016 regular season, according to our Bet Labs data.
Here is a list of quarterbacks to be listed as a road favorite in more games than Manning over that span: Sam Bradford, Trevor Siemian, Derek Carr, Tyrod Taylor. — Evan Abrams
Which team is healthier? Giants
The Giants are expected to welcome back starting tight end Evan Engram (hamstring) this Sunday, but linebackers Tae Davis (ankle), Lorenzo Carter (hip) and B.J. Goodson (neck) are all banged up.
The defense will also be without safety Landon Collins (shoulder, IR) for the rest of the season. Wide receiver Sterling Shepard (ribs) is tentatively expected to suit up.
The Redskins’ main question marks come down to defensive tackle Matt Ioannidis (shin), linebacker Ryan Anderson (hamstring), safety Montae Nicholson (illness) and center Chase Roullier (knee).
Biggest Mismatch/DFS Edge: Odell Beckham Jr. vs. Josh Norman
Update: Beckham (quad) has been ruled out. Read about the impact of Beckham’s injury here.
The Redskins have utilized Josh Norman in shadow coverage whenever No. 2 cornerback Quinton Dunbar (leg, IR) has been unable to suit up this season. This hasn’t exactly worked out so far, although Norman deserves some slack considering the Redskins utilize a ton of zone defense and don’t make a habit of moving him into the slot.
Still, Julio Jones (7-121-1), Mike Evans (3-51-0), DeAndre Hopkins (5-56-1), Alshon Jeffery (3-31-0) and Beckham (8-136-0) have largely been able to produce in Norman’s shadow this season.
There’s certainly been plenty of bad blood between Beckham and Norman over the years, but it’s tough to deny that OBJ would be scored the winner if this battle went to the judge’s scorecards.
Overall, Beckham has posted 6-76-1, 7-121-0, 5-44-0 and 8-136-0 lines in four career matchups with Norman.
The Redskins have allowed a league-high 88.5 yards per game to opposing No. 1 receivers this season.
Bet to watch: Redskins +3.5
The Redskins’ season took a turn for the worst when Alex Smith suffered a broken leg, ending his season. The market adjusted their team rating down roughly 3.5 points as they went from Smith to Colt McCoy under center, which seems about right.
Now that McCoy has suffered a broken leg — what is it with Washington quarterbacks breaking their legs?! — they will need to turn to their third-stringer.
The market has decided to lower the Redskins’ power rating another 3-3.5 points with Sanchez starting, but that’s way too much of an overreaction.
I’ll gladly take the home team here, since they still have a shot at the playoffs.
In what should be a low-scoring game, it’s critical to make sure you get the half-point hook here. — Sean Koerner
Editor’s note: The opinions on this game are from the individual writers and are based on their research, analysis and perspective. They are independent of, and may not always match with, the algorithm-driven Best Bets from Sports Insights.