Early Betting Action Suggests Baker Mayfield, Browns Will Struggle in Oakland

Sep 25, 2018 10:31 AM EDT
  • The Cleveland Browns are listed as 2.5-point road underdogs for their Week 4 matchup with the Oakland Raiders.
  • This game opened as a pick'em at BookMaker.eu, but early action is fading the Browns and moving the point spread toward the Raiders.

In Week 3, the Cleveland Browns closed as favorites for the first time in the Hue Jackson era. They rewarded faithful bettors with a second-half comeback, led by rookie quarterback Baker Mayfield, to beat the New York Jets, 21-17, and cover the 3-point spread.

With the losing streak over and Victory Fridges ransacked, the Browns’ Week 4 game against the Raiders opened as a pick’em at BookMaker and sharp NFL bettors wasted no time jumping on Oakland.

The Action Network’s public betting data suggests balanced betting action overall with 56% of spread tickets on the Raiders, yet the game’s line history and sharp money indicators reveal that professionals already took advantage of the opener.


At 7:42 p.m. ET Sunday, BookMaker opened this matchup as a pick’em, and bettors immediately pounded the Raiders, driving the spread up to Oakland -2.5 within 10 minutes.


>> Sign up for Sports Insights’ Bet Signals to track sharp action for the NFL’s entire Week 4 slate.


Sports Insights’ Bet Signals triggered a Reverse Line Move on Oakland, reporting that sharp action was, in fact, responsible for the early line movement.

It’s easy to understand why some bettors like the value of a pick’em or Oakland as a short home favorite, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t a sharp buyback waiting to bet Baker and the Browns should this line hit the key number of three.

Credit:

Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports Pictured: Cleveland Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield

Follow PJ Walsh on Twitter
@PJWalsh24

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SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
HOU
WAS
43
+3
42.5
+3
CIN
BAL
43.5
-4.5
43.5
-4
PIT
JAC
47.5
+6
47
+5.5
CAR
DET
50.5
+3
49.5
+4.5
DAL
ATL
47.5
-4.5
50
-3
TEN
IND
48
-3
50.5
-1
TB
NYG
52
PK
52.5
-2.5
OAK
ARI
41
-4
41
-5.5
DEN
LAC
47
-7.5
45.5
-7
PHI
NO
54.5
-9
56
-7.5
MIN
CHI
45.5
-2.5
44.5
-2.5
KC
LA
63.5
-1
63
-3.5