Schwartz’s Trench Report: How to Find Value in Saints-Vikings Over/Under, More Week 8 NFL Bets

Oct 26, 2018 08:20 PM EDT

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Cameron Jordan, Riley Reiff

  • Former NFL lineman Geoff Schwartz offers his best Week 8 NFL bets based on the battles up front.
  • He's picking the over/under in New Orleans Saints-Minnesota Vikings, and one side of Seattle Seahawks-Detroit Lions.

Welcome back to the Trench Report! It’s the only place you’ll find gambling advice for Week 8 of the NFL season based on the battle in the trenches between the offensive and defensive lines.

This week I’m eyeing the over/under in New Orleans Saints-Minnesota Vikings and the spread in Seattle Seahawks-Detroit Lions. Let’s start with the 2017 NFC divisional round rematch.

>> All odds as of Thursday afternoon. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and track your bets.

New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings

  • Spread: Saints -1
  • Over/Under: 52
  • Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: NBC

Both teams are hitting their strides heading into this matchup. The Saints have won five in a row, and since a close road loss to the Rams on a short week, the Vikings have won in Philadelphia then dominated the Cardinals and Jets.

It’s no surprise that 75% of tickets are on the over as of writing (see live data here), but we have reverse line movement as the total is now at 52 after opening at 53. Why is that?

Well, it starts with the battle in the trenches.

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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