NFL Odds & Picks for Colts vs. Bills: Sharps & PRO Projections Show Betting Value On Indianapolis

NFL Odds & Picks for Colts vs. Bills: Sharps & PRO Projections Show Betting Value On Indianapolis article feature image

Brett Carlsen/Getty Images. Pictured: Josh Allen

  • Sharp bettors have brought Saturday's Colts-Titans line inside the key number of +7, with our model suggesting further value on Indianapolis remains.
  • Danny Donahue breaks down the movement in our NFL PRO Report.

NFL Odds: Colts vs. Bills

Colts Odds +6.5
Bills Odds -6.5
Over/Under 51.5
PRO Projection BUF -4.1 | O/U 52.2
Time Saturday, 1:05 p.m. ET
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It appears that sharp bettors are wasting no time in the NFL Playoffs, as our betting tools have revealed that Saturday’s Wild Card Round opener between the Colts and Bills has been met with some professional action.

The wiseguy money has caused a fairly significant line shift, but even following the move, our model still projects some value on the sharp side. Let’s take a look using the NFL PRO Report.

Note: Odds, data as of 12 p.m. ET Friday.

NFL Pick: Colts vs. Bills

Sharp bettors on the Colts have brought this line inside the key number of +7, with our model suggesting further Indy value remains.

Sharp Action

This game has generated 60-40 split amongst the betting population, with the 60% unsurprisingly landing on the home favorite. That, when paired with the line’s movement away from the Bills, should serve as a pretty strong indicator of the sharp side in itself.

Sure enough, Action Labs triggered two Bet Signals on the Colts earlier this week, revealing two instances of market-wide movement caused specifically by sharp action. It is worth noting, though, that as of Friday morning, no Bet Signals have been triggered inside the key number.

Sharp Action edge: Colts

Model Projection

For sharps to have been betting the Colts, they must have seen this line as too big. And our model agrees … still.

In fact, it pegs the true Colts spread at +4.1, leaving more than two points of value on the bone at the current line.

Model Projection edge: Colts

Sharps are betting the total, too!

4 Action Labs Bet Signals

Ticket vs. money percentages

Plus the rest of the weekend’s sharp action
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