Saturday’s Best Week 16 NFL Player Props: Bet on Lamar Jackson’s Rushing Ability
- There are two player props offering betting value on the Week 16 Saturday slate.
- This piece will focus on Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson and Redskins quarterback Josh Johnson.
There are two NFL player prop bets offering value on Saturday, involving Redskins-Titans (4:30 p.m. ET) and Ravens-Chargers (8:20 p.m. ET).
As a reminder, you can dig deeper on these and many other prop bets by using our FantasyLabs NFL Player Prop Tool, which takes each prop listed across five of the most popular sportsbooks and leverages them against our player projections from Sean Koerner, the No. 1 in-season fantasy football ranker in each of the past three seasons.
*All odds as of 10 a.m. ET on Saturday, Dec. 22.
Redskins QB Josh Johnson
The Pick: Under 19.5 completions (-115)
In Johnson’s first full game as a starter, he had just 25 pass attempts, completing 16 of them. However, the most concerning aspect of this game is the slow pace of play. Overall, the Titans rank 30th in pace, and they’re presently massive 10.5-point home favorites.
This game sets up as a Derrick Henry game rather than a shootout. And even if the Titans end up trailing, they are not likely to diverge from running their brand of snail-paced offense that ranks 30th in pace when trailing by seven or more points.
Under 19.5 completions seems like a good bet in a slow-paced environment with a running quarterback who likely won’t have a high amount of pass attempts.
Ravens QB Lamar Jackson
The Pick: Under 17.0 completions (-130)
Since Jackson took over as the starter in Week 11, the Ravens rank 30th in pass attempts (119) and first in rush attempts (234). They have 115 more rush than pass attempts and 65 more rush attempts than the next closest team (Seahawks, 169 attempts)!
Jackson hasn’t topped more than 25 pass attempts or more than 14 completions in any of his starts, averaging 23.8 pass attempts and 13.8 completions per game.
The under seems like a sound play here given that this prop is almost 4.0 completions greater than Jackson’s five-game average.