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Best Titans-Cowboys MNF Player Props: Amari Cooper Over/Under 4 Receptions?

Nov 05, 2018 6:30 PM EST
Credit:

James Lang, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Amari Cooper

  • The Titans travel to Dallas to take on the Cowboys on Monday Night Football.
  • Using the FantasyLabs player props tool, Justin Bailey identified two bets that provide value including Amari Cooper Over/Under 4 receptions.

There are two NFL player prop bets offering value in the Tennessee Titans-Dallas Cowboys matchup on Monday Night Football, which kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN.

The Action Network’s public betting data will often be used in this data-driven analysis of props, along with the player props tool at FantasyLabs.

All odds as of 2 p.m. ET on Monday. 

Cowboys WR Amari Cooper

The pick: Under 4.0 receptions (+100)

Could the Cowboys have schemed up some plays for the newly acquired Cooper during their bye week? Sure, but the Cowboys are still a run-first team. Dak Prescott ranks 26th in pass attempts this season, averaging just 29.42 pass attempts and 18.28 completions per game.

Additionally, Dak has completed four or more passes to the same player just 10 times this season, and receivers make up just six of those times — Cole Beasley (four), Deonte Thompson (one), and Allen Hurns (one).  And the under would’ve pushed on three of those 10 occasions.

Cooper is presently projected for 3.6 receptions in the FantasyLabs prop tool, so this bet could certainly push and require a good amount of sweating, but at even-money odds, the under is intriguing.

Titans QB Marcus Mariota

The pick: Under 19.5 completions (-115)

This game is shaping up to be very slow paced: Per Football Outsiders, the Titans and Cowboys rank 31st and 29th in pace of play this year, which should bode well for the under.

Furthermore, in the five games that Mariota has started this season, he’s completed fewer than 20 passes in four of them, and The Action Network’s head of analytics, Sean Korner, presently has Mariota projected for 17.3 completions.

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