NFL Playoff Betting Tip: What to Expect in Sunday’s Seahawks vs. Eagles Regular-Season Rematch
Mitchell Leff/Getty Images. Pictured: Russell Wilson #3 of the Seattle Seahawks shakes hands with Carson Wentz #11 of the Philadelphia Eagles
- Sunday's Seahawks vs. Eagles wild card game (4:35 p.m. ET, NBC) will be a rematch from the regular season.
- John Ewing details what bettors should expect in these NFL playoff matchups.
Sunday’s Wild Card game between the Philadelphia Eagles and Seattle Seahawks (4:40 p.m. ET, NBC) is a rematch from the regular season.
The Eagles will look to avenge a 17-9 loss to the Seahawks when the teams played in Philadelphia in Week 12.
What can the regular-season results tell bettors about playoff matchups?
Using the Bet Labs database, we examine how teams perform straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) when squaring off for a second time in the postseason.
Odds as of Tuesday at 7:30 a.m. ET and via FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.
For this article we looked specifically at non-divisional playoff rematches, like Seahawks vs. Eagles. There are 86 games in our dataset going back to 2003.
Seahawks vs. Eagles Wild Card Betting Tip
The Seahawks won the first game. Since 2003, the team that won the first meeting has gone 51-35 SU and 36-48-2 (42.9%) ATS when the teams take the field for a second time.
The team that won the first meeting is often favored in the rematch — 70.9% (61 of 86) of the teams that won the first game are favored in the second. The Seahawks are 1.5-point road favorites on Sunday.
All favorites in the second meeting have gone 53-33 SU and 37-47-2 (44.0%) ATS while the teams that won the first game and are favored in the second, like Seattle, have gone 40-21 SU and 24-36-1 (40.0%) ATS.
The Wild Card rematch will be played in Philly. The team with home-field advantage in these rematches has gone 53-33 SU and 40-43-3 (48.2%) ATS.
Carson Wentz & Co. have the benefit of playing both matches at Lincoln Financial Field. Teams that played the rematch at home when the first game was also in friendly confines have gone 30-17 SU and 20-27 ATS.
The Seahawks covered in Week 12 as 1-point underdogs. Since 2003, in non-divisional rematches the team that covered the first game has gone 48-34 SU and 33-48-1.
Bottom line, winning and covering aren’t the same thing in these rematches. Teams that are favored and/or have home-field advantage are more likely to win, but in every example these squads have losing ATS records.