Highest NFL Playoff Betting Over/Unders: Where Do Rams-Saints and Patriots-Chiefs Rank All Time?

Jan 16, 2019 9:20 PM EST
Credit:

Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Drew Brees

  • The Patriots-Chiefs and Rams-Saints Conference Championship games could be just the second title games to close with an over/under of 50 or higher since 1980.
  • If the Rams-Saints game closes with an over/under above 57, it will be the 3rd-highest playoff over/under since 1980.

The over/under for the AFC Championship game between the Patriots and Chiefs opened at 59.5 points on Sunday afternoon. It has since been bet down to 55 due to frigid temperatures in Arrowhead Stadium.

The over/under for the NFC Championship game between the Rams and Saints opened at 56 points and has since been bet up to 57 at multiple sportsbooks.

If both totals stay at 50 or higher it will be just the second time since 1980 and the first time since 1998-99 that both Conference Championship games closed with an over/under of 50 or more.

Here’s how those games shook out in 1999:

1998 NFC Championship: Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings (Over/Under: 55.5)

In the first half of the NFC Championship, the Falcons and Vikings combined to score 34 points,  which was right on pace for one of the highest totals in playoff history up to that point.

With just over two minutes left, Falcons kicker Gary Anderson missed a 38-yard field goal that would have extended Atlanta’s lead to 10, but the miss kept it at a 27-20 game.

Chris Chandler led the Falcons down the field for the game-tying touchdown with under a minute left to force overtime and secure the over for total bettors (Falcons, 30-27 final).

1998 AFC Championship: New York Jets at Denver Broncos (Over/Under: 51)

Later that day, the Jets and Broncos kicked off from Mile High with an over/under of 50.5 points. Just three points were scored in the first half, a complete opposite result of the earlier game.

The Broncos ended up defeating the Jets, 23-10, securing the under for total bettors in this one and sending Denver to the Super Bowl against the Falcons.

Since 1980, only 11 NFL playoff games have closed with an over/under of 55 points or more, with the Patriots-Chiefs and Rams-Saints potentially joining the exclusive list:

Four of the previous 11 highest over/unders in the playoffs have included the Saints and Drew Brees, including their 2011 Wild-Card game against the Lions, which closed with an over/under of 59.5, tied for the highest total in this span.

Of the 11 totals to close with an over/under of 55 or more, seven have gone over the total, with the four games to have a total of 57 or more all going over as well.

Sunday will be the third time the NFC Championship game will close with an over/under of 55 or higher, with the previous two games going over the total in 2016 between the Falcons and Packers and back in 1998 between the Falcons and Vikings.

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