Koerner’s NFL Power Ratings: My Betting Approach for Every Week 3 Game

Credit:

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Teddy Bridgewater, Mason Rudolph, Daniel Jones

Sep 22, 2019, 09:25 AM EDT
  • Sean Koerner uses his NFL Power Ratings to find the best Week 3 bets.
  • Compare his projected spreads and over/unders to the market.

We have two massive favorites. At least three teams without future Hall of Fame quarterbacks. And two flashy young QBs facing off in the highest total game of the week.

But what are the best value bets?

Odds above as of Wednesday and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can exclusively bet every NFL spread this season at reduced juice (-105).

Let’s compare the odds to my projected spreads and over/unders for every game to identify the best bets for Week 3, including sides in Jets-Patriots and Dolphins-Cowboys.


Titans at Jaguars

Odds: Titans -1.5; 39
My Projections: Titans -1.5; 39.5

The Titans opened as 2.5-point favorites, but despite receiving 70% of the tickets as of writing (see live public betting data here), they’ve dropped to -2. This tells me there wasn’t sharp money pushing the line toward the most valuable number in NFL betting, 3.

Get the EDGE

Unlock The Action EDGE

Become an Action EDGE member to see Sean Koerner's best Week 3 bets.

Get the EDGE
model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
Follow Sean Koerner on Twitter
@The_Oddsmaker

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
Newsletter
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories