NFL Prop Bets & Picks: Hammer This Packers vs. Saints Over For Sunday Night Football
Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Robert Tonyan.
Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, is highlighting his favorite prop for every primetime game throughout the 2020 season — he’s 4-4 so far and has a 221-160-4 (58%) all-time record on NFL bets he’s tracked in the Action app.
Find his pick for Sunday Night Football below. And if you’re looking for more action, his projections power the FantasyLabs NFL Player Prop Tool, which grades every prop.
NFL Prop Bet: Packers vs. Saints
- The Pick: Robert Tonyan Over 22.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
- Bet Now: DraftKings
Davante Adams is doubtful for tonight, which could alter the Packers’ game plan significantly. Given their lack of depth at wide receiver, I can see them run more two-TE sets with Robert Tonyan and Marcedes Lewis.
Lewis is the blocking TE, which means Tonyan should see plenty of pass routes tonight. Tonyan ran a route on 74% of pass plays last week, and I think we can bank on similar usage tonight, especially since rookie Josiah Deguara is expected to be inactive again. Marshon Lattimore is likely to match up with Marquez Valdez-Scantling, which makes me think Rodgers may lean on Tonyan, Allen Lazard, and Aaron Jones tonight with Adams out.
I’m projecting Tonyan to see 4.5 targets tonight and would set his median projection at 30.5. I would bet this up to 26.5.