NFL Prop Bets & Picks For Broncos vs. Chiefs On Sunday Night Football

NFL Prop Bets & Picks For Broncos vs. Chiefs On Sunday Night Football article feature image
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AAron Ontiveroz/MediaNews Group/The Denver Post via Getty Images. Pictured: Noah Fant

NFL Prop Bets

Pick
Bet Now 
Noah Fant Over 38.5 Rec Yards (-105)
BetMGM

Noah Fant was able to catch one of Kendall Hinton’s nine passes for 12 yards. In fact, Fant was the only player to catch a pass for the Broncos last week.

The entire offense should rebound on Sunday Night Football with an actual quarterback under center, and the Broncos will need to throw in order to keep up with the Chiefs. The Broncos are also +13.5 underdogs (check real-time odds here), so we should see plenty of garbage time in which Fant thrives.

The Chiefs tend to be stingy against outside wide receivers, but can be vulnerable over the middle with tight ends. Rob Gronkowski dropped 106 yards on them last week, while Darren Waller put up 88 against them in Week 11.

Fant has gone over this total in seven of 10 games this season and will have a game script that should only enhance his expected volume. He’s still maybe a year or two away from entering his prime, and I expect him to only improve as we close out the 2020 season.

I would bet his over up to 41.5 yards, but here are the projected chances of him going over or under various lines based on my 10,000 player prop simulations:

Rec Yds
Over
Under
36.5
58.2%
41.8%
37.5
56.9%
43.1%
38.5
55.6%
44.4%
39.5
54.3%
45.7%
40.5
52.9%
47.1%
41.5
51.6%
48.4%
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