NFL Saturday Betting Guide: All You Need to Know for Texans-Jets, Browns-Broncos

Dec 15, 2018 07:30 AM EST

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Von Miller, Baker Mayfield and DeAndre Hopkins

All odds as of Thursday evening. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets.

Betting odds: Houston Texans at New York Jets

  • Spread: Texans -7
  • Over/Under: 41.5
  • Time: Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: NFL Network

Betting market: With 71% of spread bets at the time of writing, the Texans are the second-most popular team of the week behind the Patriots (click here for live odds). Despite the overwhelming support, the line has moved against the Texans.

Nearly 60% of bets are on the over, but more than 80% of the cash is on the under, which has caused the total to drop from 42.5 to 41.5. — Mark Gallant

Trends to know: Big home underdogs are often overlooked late in the season by casual bettors. The reason? Most teams that fit that description are out of the playoff race and thus viewed as having little to play for.

But since 2003, home dogs of six or more points have gone 82-62-4 (57%) against the spread in games played in December or later, per our Bet Labs data. — John Ewing

The Texans enter Week 15 coming off a loss, but here’s a fun fact: Teams that are allowing fewer than 21 points per game and coming off a straight-up loss are 51-32-1 ATS (61.4%) over the last five years, covering the spread by 3.1 PPG. — Evan Abrams

Did you know? Deshaun Watson has started three games in his career that have not been on a Sunday and the Texans are 3-0 straight up and ATS, covering the spread by 11.5 PPG. — Abrams