Koerner’s NFL Strength of Schedule Rankings: Patriots Have Easiest Path

Koerner’s NFL Strength of Schedule Rankings: Patriots Have Easiest Path article feature image
Credit:

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Tom Brady, Von Miller

  • Sean Koerner uses his Power Ratings to rank the strength of schedule for all 32 NFL teams.
  • The Patriots have the easiest regular season while the Broncos have the hardest.
  • See how many games Koerner projects each team to be favored in and more.

One of the most helpful tools for analyzing a team’s win total? The strength of their schedule.

I ranked the strength of schedule for all 32 teams — from the most difficult (1) to the easiest (32) — by averaging my Power Ratings of each teams’ regular-season opponents. I’ve also highlighted the number of games I have each team projected to be favored in as well as their easiest and hardest games according to my point spread projections.

Let’s get started with the team with the hardest schedule. (You can also jump to the full rankings below.)


NFL Strength of Schedule Rankings

1. Denver Broncos

  • Games Favored: 5
  • Easiest Game: Broncos -4.5 vs. Raiders (Week 17)
  • Hardest Game: Broncos +9 at Chiefs (Week 15)

2. Houston Texans

  • Games Favored: 9
  • Easiest Game: Texans -6.5 vs. Raiders (Week 8)
  • Hardest Game: Texans +7 at Chiefs (Week 6)

3. Oakland Raiders

  • Games Favored: 3
  • Easiest Game: Raiders -4 vs. Bengals (Week 11)
  • Hardest Game: Raiders +11 at Chiefs (Week 13)

4. Tennessee Titans

  • Games Favored: 5
  • Easiest Game: Titans -5.5 vs. Bills (Week 5)
  • Hardest Game: Titans +6 at Colts (Week 13)

5. Atlanta Falcons

  • Games Favored: 9
  • Easiest Game: Falcons -6.5 vs. Buccaneers (Week 12)
  • Hardest Game: Falcons +5.5 at Saints (Week 10)

6. Kansas City Chiefs

  • Games Favored: 15
  • Easiest Game: Chiefs -11 vs. Raiders (Week 13)
  • Hardest Game: Chiefs +1.5 at Patriots (Week 14)

T-7. Chicago Bears

  • Games Favored: 11
  • Easiest Game: Bears -9 vs. Giants (Week 12)
  • Hardest Game: Bears +4.5 at Rams (Week 11)

T-7. Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Games Favored: 6
  • Easiest Game: Jaguars -6 vs. Buccaneers (Week 13)
  • Hardest Game: Jaguars +5.5 at Colts (Week 11)

T-9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Games Favored: 2
  • Easiest Game: Buccaneers -5 vs. Cardinals (Week 10)
  • Hardest Game: Buccaneers +9.5 at Rams (Week 4)

T-9. Carolina Panthers

  • Games Favored: 8
  • Easiest Game: Panthers -7.5 vs. Redskins (Week 13)
  • Hardest Game: Panthers +5.5 at Saints (Week 12)

11. New Orleans Saints

  • Games Favored: 11
  • Easiest Game: Saints -11.5 vs. Cardinals (Week 8)
  • Hardest Game: Saints +3.5 at Rams (Week 2)

T-12. Los Angeles Chargers

  • Games Favored: 12
  • Easiest Game: Chargers -9 vs. Raiders (Week 16)
  • Hardest Game: Chargers +4.5 at Chiefs (Week 17)

T-12. Minnesota Vikings

  • Games Favored: 10
  • Easiest Game: Vikings -8 vs. Redskins (Week 8)
  • Hardest Game: Vikings +6.5 at Chiefs (Week 9)
49ers-Strength-of-Schedule-NFL
Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jimmy Garoppolo

T-12. San Francisco 49ers

  • Games Favored: 9
  • Easiest Game: 49ers -7 vs. Cardinals (Week 11)
  • Hardest Game: 49ers +7 at Rams (Week 6)

T-15. Indianapolis Colts

  • Games Favored: 10
  • Easiest Game: Colts -12.5 vs. Dolphins (Week 10)
  • Hardest Game: Colts +5 at Chiefs (Week 5)

T-15. Detroit Lions

  • Games Favored: 4
  • Easiest Game: Lions -5.5 vs. Giants (Week 8)
  • Hardest Game: Lions +7 at Eagles (Week 3)

T-17. Arizona Cardinals

  • Games Favored: 0
  • Easiest Game: Cardinals +0.5 vs. Lions (Week 1)
  • Hardest Game: Cardinals +12 at Rams (Week 17)

T-17. Green Bay Packers

  • Games Favored: 10
  • Easiest Game: Packers -8.5 vs. Redskins (Week 14)
  • Hardest Game: Packers +6 at Chiefs (Week 8)

19. Seattle Seahawks

  • Games Favored: 7
  • Easiest Game: Seahawks -8 vs. Cardinals (Week 16)
  • Hardest Game: Seahawks +6.5 at Rams (Week 14)

20. Los Angeles Rams

  • Games Favored: 14
  • Easiest Game: Rams -12 vs. Cardinals (Week 17)
  • Hardest Games: Pick’em at Browns (Week 3); Pick’em at Falcons (Week 7)

21. Miami Dolphins

  • Games Favored: 1
  • Easiest Game: Dolphins -0.5 vs. Bengals (Week 16)
  • Hardest Game: Dolphins +13.5 at Patriots (Week 17)

22. Baltimore Ravens

  • Games Favored: 10
  • Easiest Game: Ravens -7.5 vs. Cardinals (Week 2)
  • Hardest Game: Ravens +8 at Chiefs (Week 3)

23. Cincinnati Bengals

  • Games Favored: 1
  • Easiest Game: Bengals -3 vs. Cardinals (Week 5)
  • Hardest Games: Bengals +8.5 vs. Rams (Week 8); Bengals +8.5 at Browns (Week 14)

24. Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Games Favored: 10
  • Easiest Game: Steelers -10 vs. Dolphins (Week 8)
  • Hardest Game: Steelers +6 at Patriots (Week 1)

25. Washington Redskins

  • Games Favored: 1
  • Easiest Game: Redskins -2.5 vs. Giants (Week 16)
  • Hardest Game: Redskins +9 at Eagles (Week 1)

26. Dallas Cowboys

  • Games Favored: 9
  • Easiest Game: Cowboys -9.5 vs. Dolphins (Week 3)
  • Hardest Game: Cowboys +6.5 at Patriots (Week 12)

27. New York Giants

  • Games Favored: 4
  • Easiest Game: Giants -4 vs. Dolphins (Week 15)
  • Hardest Game: Giants +11.5 at Patriots (Week 6)

28. Cleveland Browns

  • Games Favored: 10
  • Easiest Game: Browns -10.5 vs. Dolphins (Week 12)
  • Hardest Game: Browns +6 at Patriots (Week 8)

29. Philadelphia Eagles

  • Games Favored: 12
  • Easiest Game: Eagles -9.5 vs. Giants (Week 14)
  • Hardest Game: Eagles +2 at Packers (Week 4)

30. Buffalo Bills

  • Games Favored: 6
  • Easiest Game: Bills -6 vs. Dolphins (Week 7)
  • Hardest Game: Bills +10 at Patriots (Week 16)

31. New York Jets

  • Games Favored: 5
  • Easiest Game: Jets -7 vs Dolphins (Week 14)
  • Hardest Game: Jets +9 at Patriots (Week 3)

32. New England Patriots

  • Games Favored: 15
  • Easiest Game: Patriots -13.5 vs. Dolphins (Week 17)
  • Hardest Game: Patriots +0.5 at Eagles (Week 11)

Full Ranking