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Updated Super Bowl 53 Odds: Saints Join Rams as Championship Favorites

Nov 13, 2018 11:10 PM EST
  • After a dominating win against the Bengals and a Panthers loss to the Steelers, the Saints (+275) have joined the Rams as Super Bowl 53 favorites.
  • A huge Steelers win and an ugly Patriots loss have caused Pittsburgh (+600) and New England (+800) to swap odds.
  • After their Monday Night Football loss to the Cowboys, the reigning Super Bowl champion Eagles have dropped back to +4000.

The Los Angeles Rams have been Super Bowl favorites since Week 3. At one point, they were +160 to win Super Bowl 53 with the next best team at +600. Now they have company atop the leaderboard.

There have been a number of changes among the contenders and with the Chiefs facing the Rams in Week 11, you can expect to see some more adjustments next week.

All odds via the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Monday at 11 a.m. ET. Click on the date to sort.

Risers

New Orleans Saints: +350 to +275 (+4.5% Implied probability)

It’s been a big few weeks for the Saints. Over the past month, they’ve done nothing but win and cover. As a result, their Super Bowl odds have gone all the way from +1000 to +275, a 17.5% increase in implied odds.

Since the Panthers lost to the Steelers on Thursday night, the Saints also have a bit of breathing room in the NFC South.

In addition, the Saints still have two games against the Panthers remaining, so it’s possible they lose the division, but that’s looking increasingly unlikely now that Carolina is two games back.

If the Saints can hold off the Eagles at home on Sunday and the Rams lose to the Chiefs, New Orleans will be the lone Super Bowl favorite entering Week 12.

Pittsburgh Steelers: +800 to +600 (+3.2 IP)

No Le’Veon, no problem. The Bell-less Steelers looked awful to start the season, but have won five straight games and have a strong grasp on the once tightly-contested AFC North.

With the Patriots losing to Tennessee, Pittsburgh has also weaseled its way into the 2-seed in the AFC.

At this time of year, every loss for a contender could mean a healthy odds change, but the Steelers have three very tough games down the stretch:.

  • Week 12: vs. Chargers
  • Week 15: vs. Patriots
  • Week 16: at Saints

Green Bay Packers: +4000 to +2500 (+1.4% IP)

The Packers are sticking around, folks. They’re actually the only team in the NFC with a .500 record, which currently puts them right outside the playoff picture as the 7-seed.

The also have a quick turnaround and tough test Thursday at Seattle.

Favorites have historically done excellent on Thursday nights and as of now, Green Bay is a 2.5-point underdog. A loss for either squad could make a playoff appearance a very tough task.

Fallers

Los Angeles Rams: +250 to +275 (-2.0% IP)

The Rams got the win vs. Seattle, though it got a bit hairy at the end. They’ll be without one of their three stud wideouts for the rest of the season, as Cooper Kupp tore his ACL.

Now, Jared Goff only has Todd Gurley, Brandin Cooks and Robert Woods to play with … poor guy.

A loss to the Chiefs could drop the Rams’ odds to … well, I’m no oddsmaker, but I would estimate around +400. Let’s see how they fare a few million feet above sea level in what oddsmakers expect to be an extremely high-scoring game.

New England Patriots:  +600 to +800 (-3.2% IP)

The Patriots looked like trash against the Titans on Sunday. Trust me, I watched the game in its entirety.

A couple worrisome things happened in the game. First off, they allowed a crappy Titans offense to tool all over them. Oh well, sometimes that happens. What was more troubling was Tom Brady’s play. He sucked.

The offensive line allowed the Titans to pressure old Tom way more than one would like an old man to be pressured, but Brady was also rather inaccurate.

Brady and the Pats have a bye week to recover from the ugly upset, and both Patriots fans and Super Bowl ticket holders everywhere are just praying they don’t have to see Brian Hoyer enter a game this year.

Philadelphia Eagles and Carolina Panthers: +2500 to +4000 (-1.4% IP)

The Eagles and Panthers are in two very different spots, but saw the exact same odds movement following Week 10.

The Panthers kicked off the week with a horrendous loss to PIttsburgh. The Eagles’ loss on Sunday night was not exactly horrendous, but it was an upset nonetheless.

If I were on the Panthers, though, I’d be insulted by these odds. No respect.

Carolina is 6-3 and has sole possession of the 5-seed in the NFC playoff picture. Philly, on the other hand, is 4-5 and sits 11th in the NFC standings.

There’s a very good shot Philly misses the playoffs entirely, yet the Westgate is still giving it the same shot of winning it all as Carolina.

Credit:

Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees.

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