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Week 14 NFL Survivor Pool: Plan Ahead When Making Your Pick

Dec 09, 2018 6:55 AM EST
  • With just four weeks remaining in the 2018-19 NFL regular season, it's imperative to plan ahead before making your Week 14 survivor pool pick.
  • Based on The Action Network's NFL simulations and survivor-pool pick percentages, we offer the best pick for Week 14.

Last week the Saints, Colts, Bears and Packers lost as favorites. This may have been good for my betting bankroll, but caused some havoc in survivor pools.

I recommended taking the Titans last week. It wasn’t pretty but they were able to squeak by the Jets.

Some of you took the Packers and were eliminated. I still believe that was a good decision. You had 14-point favorites with no future value in a contrarian spot.

Think of it like pocket aces getting cracked in poker. You got your money in well, but it didn’t pay off.

Looking ahead to Week 14, there are two tiers of options. If you have already used most of the premiere teams, then it could get a little dicey.

Here are the projected win percentages for the last four weeks of the season:

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SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
56.5
-3.5
53.5
-3.5
-6.5
42.5
-6
41.5
44.5
-4
45.5
-3
44
-3
43.5
-2.5
47.5
-8.5
46.5
-8
46.5
-5
45
-6
38
PK
38.5
-2.5
46.5
-3.5
46
-2.5
44
-9
44
-9
44
-9.5
44.5
-7
47
-3
47
-3
36
-8.5
36
-7
-5.5
44.5
-5
44
-1
52.5
-1.5
52.5
54.5
-9.5
53.5
-9.5
-7
54
-6
51.5

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