NFL Week 3 Picks & Betting Predictions: Bears vs. Falcons, Cowboys vs. Seahawks Among Sunday’s Sharpest Bets
Photo by Harry How/Getty Images. Pictured: Dak Prescott #4 of the Dallas Cowboys and Ezekiel Elliott #21
Interesting matchups and betting value don’t necessarily go hand-in-hand. Winning bets pay out the same no matter how much interest there is from fans and casual bettors, and that’s often how professionals find value.
However, in NFL Week 3 our PRO Report is pegging three games as savvy bets that, for good or for bad, do provide interesting high-level storylines:
- Chicago Bears vs. Atlanta Falcons (1 p.m. ET, FOX)
- San Francisco 49ers vs. New York Giants (1 p.m. ET, FOX)
- Dallas Cowboys vs. Seattle Seahawks (4:25 p.m. ET, FOX)
Let’s dive into Sunday’s best betting edges.
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NFL Week 2 PRO Report Betting Picks
Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons
This game appears to be the perfect setup to take the underwhelming 0-2 Falcons against the overachieving 2-0 Bears. However, recreational bettors still aren’t buying Chicago, evidenced by 76% of spread bets backing Atlanta.
On the other hand, sharps are finding plenty of value with the road underdogs, evidenced by two smart money indicators landing on the Bears via Sports Insights’ Bet Signals data.
Some books across the market have reacted by moving this line from +3.5 to +3 in order to stem the flow of wiseguys loading up on Chicago plus the hook.
As mentioned, just 24% of tickets are on the Bears, yet they account for 45% of the total money wagered. This is another clear indicator regarding how the biggest bettors are approaching this spread.
Because getting off the key number of 3 is so important, it’s crucial to visit our FREE NFL Live Odds page and pinpoint one of the many sportsbooks still hanging Bears +3.5.
PRO Report Angle: Bears (+3.5)
San Francisco 49ers vs. New York Giants
San Francisco will be without starting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo while New York lost its best player, running back Saquon Barkley, for the season due to a torn ACL.
Spread tickets are split exactly 50/50 on this game, while professionals have come down hard on the Giants.
SI’s Bet Signals are reporting a whopping eight smart money indicators on Big Blue, but the real money data is truly staggering.
On just 50% of the action, the Giants are attracting an incredible 89% of the loot, leaving no questions as to where the largest wagers are landing on this game.
Earlier this week, the G-Men touched +4.5 but have come crashing down to a consensus of +3.5 in reaction to big money from sharp bettors consistently playing New York.
Three of The Action Network’s experts are on the Giants as well, giving New York three PRO Report betting edges.
PRO Report Angle: Giants (+3.5)
Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks
Cowboys vs. Seahawks will be one of the most heavily bet games on Sunday’s slate, and wiseguys are joining the party as well.
Dallas has enticed four separate waves of smart money per SI’s Bet Signals, indicating that professionals expect Dak Prescott to at least keep it close against the red-hot Russell Wilson.
America’s Team is often a very popular bet most weeks, yet the Cowboys have landed just 46% of spread bets so far this week. Yet, once again, tickets alone don’t tell the story as these Dallas wagers account for 84% of the money.
According to our NFL model, this line should be closer to 3 (our projection is 3.1), explaining why there’s so much value in grabbing the Cowboys off the key number of +3 and through +4 (the sixth-most frequent margin of victory since 2003).
Two of The Action Network’s betting experts are on the Cowboys as well, illuminating four PRO Report betting edge signals on Dallas’ side.
PRO Report Angle: Cowboys +5