Wild Card Weekend Betting Market: Early Money Moving Chargers Off Key Number

Jan 02, 2019 07:48 AM EST
Credit:

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers.

  • Three underdogs are getting the majority of spread bets for NFL Wild Card Weekend, with the Bears being the only exception.
  • The trendy dogs also have sharp bettors on their side, causing sportsbooks to move lines.

Eleven games remain in the NFL season, four of which take place this weekend. Savor it while you can, folks.

The wild card betting slate is an odd one, as dogs are trendier than Snoop in the early going.

There are also a few very similar lines, as three games have over/unders that opened between 41 and 42, and three have spreads that opened between 2.5 and 3.

Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans

Saturday at 4:35 p.m. ET
Channel: ABC/ESPN

Spread: Texans -2

After opening at -2.5 and -3 at some spots, the Texans have watched their odds drop in the early going. The Colts are getting the slight majority of bets at 53%, and a solid two-thirds of the money. These larger wagers have caused Houston to fall to -2 and as low as -1 depending on the book.

Indy beat the Texans by three points in Houston less than a month ago, so some folks reckon they can do it again. The Colts were +4 in that game and closed with 44% of bets.

Over/under: 47

With three-quarters of the bets, the over is a very popular option. However, the sharper side appears to be the under.

After moving from 47 to 47.5 on Sunday night, the total dropped back down to 47 on Monday morning and has remained there despite the lopsided action.

Seattle Seahawks @ Dallas Cowboys

Saturday at 8:15 p.m. ET
Channel: FOX

Spread: Cowboys -1

Trendy dog #2 checking in.

The Seahawks — getting 57% of spread bets and a similar percentage of dollars — are even more popular than the Colts. Unlike the Colts, though, Sports Insights’ Bet Signals triggered a steam move on Seattle which has helped them move from the opening line of +2.5 to +1.

Over/under: 43.5

As PJ Walsh detailed, both pros and Joes hopped on the over train right from the get-go, which caused it to rise from 41 all the way to 44. There has since been some buyback on the under, as a reverse line move sent it from 44 to 43.5.

Los Angeles Chargers @ Baltimore Ravens

Sunday at 1:05 p.m. ET
Channel: CBS

Spread: Ravens -2.5

Trendy dog #3 where you at???

The Chargers are easily the trendiest dog of the bunch, as they are commanding more than 70% of spread bets.

Like the other games, this onslaught of action has forced oddsmakers to move the line off the key number of 3 and down to 2.5.

This betting action is a bit interesting in my mind, as Baltimore recently beat the Chargers in their dōjō. Also, Baltimore ended the season on a hot streak to win its division.

Generally speaking, bettors are a “what have you done for me lately” type of crowd, but they are leaving what happened in the regular season behind them.

New year, new bettors.

Over/under: 41

After opening at 41.5, this total has dropped one-half point despite two-thirds of bets being on the over. The under is, however, getting just about half of the money.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears

Sunday at 4:40 p.m. ET
Channel: NBC

Spread: Bears -6

The market is a bit undecided on this game, unsure of where to put the line exactly. Opening numbers ranged from Chicago -4.5 to -7.5 and current lines range from -5.5 to -6, with the latter being the more popular option.

Finally, we have a game in which the dog is not trendy. Philly is like a doberman — a bit outdated and out of style. Chicago isn’t getting a bear’s share of bets though, hovering just around 55%.

Over/under: 41

Over/under bets are split for this game, but money is heavily in favor of the under so far. After opening at 41.5/42, the total has dipped to 41 across the market.

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