N’Keal Harry NFL Combine Prop Bet: Over/Under 4.6 Seconds in the 40-Yard Dash?

The 2019 NFL Combine is here and sportsbooks have released performance props. Our staff will be making official picks for prop bets on a number of different prospects, including wide receiver N'Keal Harry.

Here’s the workout schedule for the various position groups:

• Friday: Running backs, offensive linemen, kickers, special teams
• Saturday: Quarterbacks, wide receivers, tight ends
• Sunday: Defensive linemen, linebackers
• Monday: Defensive backs

Now let’s dig into the Harry props that are on the market as of writing, as well as our analysis based on research and official combine data going back to 2006.

Harry dominated PAC-12 competition during his three seasons at Arizona State, finishing his career with 25 total touchdowns and 3,033 yards from scrimmage in 37 games. He was also extremely versatile. The Sun Devils utilized their No. 1 receiver in the pass, run and return games.

FantasyLabs editor-in-chief Matthew Freedman certainly thinks highly of Harry, as the wide receiver is Freedman's top-ranked player in his way-too-early 2019 dynasty fantasy football rankings:

Harry was a five-star recruit and the top-ranked receiver in his class by some scouting services. He leaves Arizona State with two 1,000-yard receiving seasons and 26 career touchdowns as a receiver, rusher and punt returner.

N'Keal Harry 40-Yard Dash time

• Over 4.60 seconds: -115
• Under 4.60 seconds: -115

The negative throughout Harry's draft process has been his supposed lack of top-notch speed. This didn't prevent him from dominating collegiate competition, but he does face questions at the next level surrounding his ability to separate from quick-twitch cornerbacks.

The former high school basketball player offers plenty of agility and jumping ability that was regularly on display during his time at Arizona State…

…but his lack of consistency with beating cornerbacks vertically is certainly a troubling factor when we're simply trying to predict how fast he can run in a straight line.

Walter Football projects Harry's 40-yard time at 4.57 seconds, which would be about on par with what we've come to expect from wide receivers with a similar build.

• 89 wide receivers standing at least 6-foot-4 and weighing 200-plus pounds have ran the 40-yard dash at the combine since 2000.
• The average and median were both 4.55 seconds.
• 61-of-89 receivers (68.5%) managed to run the 40-yard dash in fewer than 4.6 seconds.

I'd have a lot more trouble with this line at 4.55 seconds, but there seems to be some value on under 4.6 seconds.

I typically don't like to bet against the athleticism of athletes who have been consistently performing at a high level since high school, and that's exactly what we have here with Harry.

THE PICK: Under 4.6 seconds

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