Raiders-Bengals Betting Preview: How to Handicap Two of the NFL’s Worst Defenses

Dec 16, 2018 01:11 AM EST

Neville Guard, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Derek Carr

Betting odds: Oakland Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals

  • Spread: Bengals -3
  • Over/Under: 46
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Friday afternoon. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: Not many folks wanted to lay 3.5 points on Jeff Driskel and the Bengals regardless of their opponent, as it didn’t take very long for early bettors to grab the hook and drive the line down to the key number of 3. Oakland’s support didn’t stop there, though, as more steady action dropped the line down to 2.5.

That’s when Bengals money (finally) showed up, as the spread is 3 at the time of writing. It appears oddsmakers found the right number: Bets and dollars are both split almost exactly 50-50 at the time of writing (see live betting data here). — Mark Gallant

Trends to know: The Raiders are coming off their third win of the season. Under Derek Carr, the Raiders are 11-18 ATS (37.9%) after a win, failing to cover by 4.3 points per game and losing bettors 7.1 units.

Only two quarterbacks have been less profitable for bettors in this spot since the Raiders drafted Carr in 2014, Nick Foles and Marcus Mariota. — Evan Abrams

These are two of the worst defenses in the NFL. Cincinnati is allowing 30.5 PPG (32nd) and Oakland is conceding 29.8 PPG (31st). Since 2003, when two defenses meet that are allowing 28 or more points per game the over has gone 39-22 (64%). — John Ewing


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