This Is How We Know the Browns Won the Draft

This Is How We Know the Browns Won the Draft article feature image

Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

What are the Cleveland Browns doing? After selecting QB Baker Mayfield with the first overall pick of the 2018 NFL draft and CB Denzel Ward at No. 4, many are wondering why Cleveland would pass up some combination of Sam Darnold, Saquon Barkley and Bradley Chubb.

While it’s easy, and probably smart, to be skeptical of Cleveland’s personnel decisions, 2018 NFL win total adjustments indicate that oddsmakers are encouraged with the Browns’ offseason so far.


Back on Jan. 25, one sportsbook opened Cleveland’s 2018 win total at over/under 4.5 wins, with the under juiced to -160. However, that number has steadily increased over the past three months with Westgate listing its post-draft number at 5.5 wins (over -130).

Here is how Cleveland’s win total has adjusted since January:

There’s some disagreement among sportsbooks regarding Cleveland’s win total, with Westgate currently at 5.5 wins (over -130). In the most recent simulations, Bet Labs projects 4.7 wins for the Browns in 2018.

Steelers at Browns Week 1 Line

The line for Cleveland’s Week 1 matchup against Pittsburgh is also on the move. Westgate initially opened the Steelers as 7-point road favorites against the Browns, but that number is down to -6.5 as of Monday morning.

While a half-point move may not seem earth-shattering, oddsmakers willing to adjust off the key number of seven is very telling regarding their changing perception of the Browns.

Top Photo: Cleveland Browns first-round picks Baker Mayfield (left) and Denzel Ward show off their new jerseys during a press conference at the team’s training facility

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